Australian Open Australia Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Vit Kopriva vs Taylor Fritz: AI Prediction | Games, Aces & Double Faults

Vit Kopriva

Rank: #100
17%
VS

Taylor Fritz

Rank: #9
83%
Expected Total Games: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Taylor Fritz

Player Metrics

Vit Kopriva

Form Index: 52.1
ELO Rating: 661.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1551.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.2
Clay: 5.5
Grass: 4.0
Serve Rating: 62.4
Return Rating: 89.8

Taylor Fritz

Form Index: 65.6
ELO Rating: 3840.0
Glicko2 Rating: 2035.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 24.1
Clay: 29.6
Grass: 33.8
Serve Rating: 98.6
Return Rating: 92.5

Recent Matches

Vit Kopriva

  • Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (3-2) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Hugo Gaston (0-2) hard Auckland 84 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Pablo Carreno Busta (2-1) hard Auckland 120 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (0-2) hard Paris 83 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (1-2) hard Vienna 111 min

Taylor Fritz

  • Last Match: vs Valentin Royer (3-1) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (0-2) hard Paris 86 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-0) hard Paris 95 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (0-2) hard Basel 79 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Valentin Vacherot (2-1) hard Basel 156 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Vit Kopriva
vs
0
Taylor Fritz
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Vit Kopriva and Taylor Fritz at the Australian Open marks a pivotal Round of 64 encounter on hard courts, a surface known for its balanced characteristics. Taylor Fritz is heavily favored to win, with an impressive 83.36% probability compared to Kopriva's 16.64%. The match is expected to feature around 36.97 total games.

Match Analysis

Taylor Fritz, currently ranked 9th, boasts a form index of 65.57 and an Elo rating of 3840, indicating his strong competitive edge. In contrast, Vit Kopriva is ranked 100th, with a lower form index of 52.10 and an Elo rating of 661.53. Both players share a cumulative fatigue level of 174 minutes in the tournament, which reflects their recent match durations. However, Fritz's surface strength index of 24.14 far surpasses Kopriva's 3.17, showcasing his superior performance on hard courts. Additionally, Fritz's mean serve index of 98.59 is significantly higher than Kopriva's 62.40, suggesting a more potent serve which could play a vital role in the match. The difference in their mean return indexes also favors Fritz, who has a rating of 92.54 compared to Kopriva's 89.83, although the gap is less than 5 points. In their recent matches, Fritz has shown resilience despite a loss in his second most recent outing. He won his last match against Valentin Royer, securing three sets to one, while Kopriva also demonstrated tenacity by defeating Jan-Lennard Struff in a hard-fought five-set match. However, Kopriva's inconsistent results, having also lost to Hugo Gaston in Auckland, signal challenges he may face against a higher-ranked opponent like Fritz.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 37.0 Most likely outcome: 36 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The expected aces prediction for this match is approximately 12.98, with both players capable of delivering strong serves on the hard court surface. Given Fritz's significantly higher mean serve index, he is likely to dominate the ace count. The expected double faults prediction stands at around 5.16, which reflects the pressure both players might experience during crucial points.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 13.0 Most likely: 12 aces
Expected Total Double Faults 5.2 Most likely: 5 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

Final Prediction

Taylor Fritz's superior ranking, form, and serve strength position him as the clear favorite in this match. His ability to generate aces, combined with Kopriva's recent inconsistencies, will be key factors to monitor as the match unfolds. The serving dynamics will likely dictate the pace and outcome of this encounter.

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