Bundesliga 2024-2025: Bayern Munich vs St Pauli Prediction - 29 Mar 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Bayern Munich

Home Team
99%
VS

St Pauli

Away Team
0%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5: 64%
Under 2.5: 36%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 26 19 5 2 75 24 51 62
2 Leverkusen 26 16 8 2 59 33 26 56
3 Mainz 26 13 6 7 44 28 16 45
4 Ein Frankfurt 26 13 6 7 54 40 14 45
5 RB Leipzig 26 11 9 6 41 33 8 42
6 Freiburg 26 12 6 8 36 38 -2 42
7 M'gladbach 26 12 4 10 43 40 3 40
8 Wolfsburg 26 10 8 8 49 40 9 38
9 Augsburg 26 10 8 8 29 35 -6 38
10 Stuttgart 26 10 7 9 47 43 4 37
11 Dortmund 26 10 5 11 45 41 4 35
12 Werder Bremen 26 9 6 11 40 53 -13 33
13 Union Berlin 26 7 6 13 23 39 -16 27
14 Hoffenheim 26 6 8 12 32 48 -16 26
15 St Pauli 26 7 4 15 20 30 -10 25
16 Bochum 26 5 5 16 27 52 -25 20
17 Heidenheim 26 5 4 17 31 52 -21 19
18 Holstein Kiel 26 4 5 17 38 64 -26 17

Recent Trends

Bayern Munich D L W W D

  • Last Match: D vs Union Berlin (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Bochum (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Stuttgart (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 0)

St Pauli W D L L L

  • Last Match: W vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Mainz (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bayern Munich

Average Expected Goals (xG): 3.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.95
# Clean Sheets: 2

St Pauli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.25
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.59
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Bayern Munich and St Pauli is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, with a staggering 99% probability of victory for Bayern Munich. The likelihood of an away win for St Pauli is virtually nonexistent, and there's only a slim 1% chance of a draw. With Bayern Munich sitting comfortably at the top of the Bundesliga standings and St Pauli struggling in 15th position, the encounter seems poised for a decisive outcome. The game is predicted to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 64% probability, suggesting a high-scoring affair.

Match Analysis

Bayern Munich's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with one win, one draw, and one loss in their last three outings. Their ability to score goals remains unparalleled, with an average of 3.2 goals per game in the last five matches. However, they have shown some defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game. Despite that, their expected goals statistics indicate a high offensive potential, with 3.972 expected goals scored per game. On the other hand, St Pauli is fighting to avoid relegation and has displayed some resilience. They managed a victory against Hoffenheim and a draw against Wolfsburg but suffered a home defeat to Dortmund. Their scoring rate is modest, averaging 0.6 goals per game over the last five matches, and they have been conceding 1.2 goals on average. St Pauli's expected goals metrics show they could pose a challenge, with 1.248 expected goals scored per match.

Final Prediction

Bayern Munich is expected to secure a comfortable victory against St Pauli, owing to their superior offensive firepower and overall team quality. The key factor to watch will be Bayern's ability to convert their chances into goals, as indicated by their high expected goals metric. St Pauli will need to tighten their defense to stand a chance against the relentless attacking threat posed by the Bundesliga leaders.

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