Bundesliga 2024-2025: Bochum vs Hoffenheim Prediction - 1 Mar 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Bochum

Home Team
51%
VS

Hoffenheim

Away Team
24%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 67%
Under 2.5: 33%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 23 18 4 1 69 19 50 58
2 Leverkusen 23 14 8 1 51 27 24 50
3 Ein Frankfurt 23 12 6 5 49 33 16 42
4 Freiburg 23 12 3 8 34 36 -2 39
5 Mainz 23 11 5 7 37 24 13 38
6 RB Leipzig 23 10 8 5 38 31 7 38
7 Stuttgart 23 10 6 7 41 34 7 36
8 Wolfsburg 23 9 7 7 46 37 9 34
9 M'gladbach 23 10 4 9 35 35 0 34
10 Dortmund 23 9 5 9 43 38 5 32
11 Augsburg 23 8 7 8 27 35 -8 31
12 Werder Bremen 23 8 6 9 35 47 -12 30
13 Union Berlin 23 6 6 11 21 35 -14 24
14 Hoffenheim 23 5 7 11 30 46 -16 22
15 St Pauli 23 6 3 14 18 27 -9 21
16 Heidenheim 23 4 3 16 27 47 -20 15
17 Bochum 23 3 6 14 22 47 -25 15
18 Holstein Kiel 23 3 4 16 34 59 -25 13

Recent Trends

Bochum D W D L L

  • Last Match: D vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Dortmund (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Freiburg (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 3)

Hoffenheim D W L L D

  • Last Match: D vs Stuttgart (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Union Berlin (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Leverkusen (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bochum

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.02
# Clean Sheets: 1

Hoffenheim

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.26
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.47
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Bochum and Hoffenheim is predicted to have the home team, Bochum, as the likely winner with a 51.0% probability. This leads to a strong inclination towards a home win. The encounter is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 67.0% chance of having over 2.5 goals scored. Currently, Bochum sits at 17th place in the Bundesliga standings while Hoffenheim occupies the 14th position, making this an important clash for both teams battling to avoid relegation.

Match Analysis

Bochum has shown a resilient streak in their recent matches, with a victory over Dortmund and draws against both Wolfsburg and Holstein Kiel. This recent form, particularly their defensive solidity, as evidenced by conceding less than a goal per game on average over the last five matches, gives them a fighting chance despite their low league position. Additionally, their expected goals metrics suggest they have been creating meaningful scoring opportunities. On the other hand, Hoffenheim has had a mixed set of results lately, with a win against Werder Bremen, a draw with Stuttgart, and a heavy defeat to Union Berlin. Hoffenheim's defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game in their last five outings, which could spell trouble against a Bochum side that has been relatively efficient in front of goal. Although their expected goals conceded metric is slightly lower, indicating some underperformance, their lack of clean sheets remains a concern.

Final Prediction

Bochum's recent defensive performances and their ability to create chances could give them the edge in this matchup. Hoffenheim's defensive vulnerabilities might be exploited, especially if Bochum maintains their recent form. A key factor to watch will be Bochum's ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, which might be decisive in securing all three points.

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