La Liga 2024-2025: Osasuna vs Girona Prediction - 13 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Osasuna

Home Team
45%
VS

Girona

Away Team
29%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 44%
Under 2.5: 56%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 30 21 4 5 83 29 54 67
2 Real Madrid 30 19 6 5 63 31 32 63
3 Ath Madrid 30 17 9 4 49 24 25 60
4 Ath Bilbao 30 14 12 4 46 24 22 54
5 Villarreal 29 13 9 7 51 39 12 48
6 Betis 30 13 9 8 41 37 4 48
7 Celta 30 12 7 11 44 43 1 43
8 Sociedad 30 12 5 13 30 32 -2 41
9 Vallecano 30 10 10 10 33 35 -2 40
10 Mallorca 30 11 7 12 29 37 -8 40
11 Getafe 30 10 9 11 30 25 5 39
12 Sevilla 30 9 9 12 34 41 -7 36
13 Osasuna 30 7 14 9 34 43 -9 35
14 Valencia 30 8 10 12 34 47 -13 34
15 Girona 30 9 7 14 37 46 -9 34
16 Espanol 29 8 8 13 31 40 -9 32
17 Alaves 30 7 9 14 33 44 -11 30
18 Leganes 30 6 10 14 29 47 -18 28
19 Las Palmas 30 6 8 16 34 51 -17 26
20 Valladolid 30 4 4 22 19 69 -50 16

Recent Trends

Osasuna D D L L D

  • Last Match: D vs Leganes (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Valencia (Goals: 3 - 3)

Girona L L D D D

  • Last Match: L vs Alaves (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Espanol (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Celta (Goals: 2 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.35
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.67
# Clean Sheets: 1

Girona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.81
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.45
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Osasuna and Girona is expected to favor the home team, with a 45.0% probability of Osasuna emerging victorious. This is contrasted by a 29.0% chance of an away win for Girona and a 26.0% probability of a draw. As both teams occupy the lower half of the La Liga standings, Osasuna sits at 13th with 35 points, while Girona is just behind them in 15th place with 34 points. The predicted outcome is a home win for Osasuna, with a likelihood of the match ending with under 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Osasuna comes into this match after a series of three games without a victory. Their recent performances include two away draws against Leganes and Ath Bilbao, and a loss to league leaders Barcelona. Although they have managed to secure a point against strong opponents, the lack of goals remains a concern, as they have only scored once in their last three outings. However, their defensive solidity, as seen in their clean sheet against Ath Bilbao, could prove advantageous in this fixture. Girona, on the other hand, has experienced a rough patch with two losses and a draw in their last three matches. They failed to capitalize on home advantage against Alaves and were outclassed by Barcelona. Their recent draw with Valencia saw them scoring only once, highlighting issues in their attacking department. Advanced metrics reveal they average only 0.6 goals scored per game in their last five matches, while conceding an average of 2.4 goals, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that Osasuna could exploit.

Final Prediction

Osasuna is positioned to leverage their home advantage and relatively better defensive record to secure a win against Girona. The key factor to watch will be Osasuna's ability to capitalize on Girona's defensive lapses, especially considering Girona's struggle to keep clean sheets in recent matches. Keep an eye on Osasuna's attacking efforts in what promises to be a closely contested battle for valuable league points.

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