La Liga 2024-2025: Valencia vs Mallorca Prediction - 30 Mar 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Valencia

Home Team
46%
VS

Mallorca

Away Team
28%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 42%
Under 2.5: 58%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 27 19 3 5 75 27 48 60
2 Real Madrid 28 18 6 4 59 27 32 60
3 Ath Madrid 28 16 8 4 46 22 24 56
4 Ath Bilbao 28 14 10 4 46 24 22 52
5 Villarreal 27 12 8 7 49 38 11 44
6 Betis 28 12 8 8 38 35 3 44
7 Mallorca 28 11 7 10 28 34 -6 40
8 Celta 28 11 6 11 41 41 0 39
9 Vallecano 28 9 10 9 31 31 0 37
10 Sevilla 28 9 9 10 32 37 -5 36
11 Getafe 28 9 9 10 25 23 2 36
12 Sociedad 28 10 5 13 25 30 -5 35
13 Girona 28 9 7 12 36 41 -5 34
14 Osasuna 27 7 12 8 33 39 -6 33
15 Espanol 27 7 7 13 26 39 -13 28
16 Valencia 28 6 10 12 31 46 -15 28
17 Alaves 28 6 9 13 32 42 -10 27
18 Leganes 28 6 9 13 26 43 -17 27
19 Las Palmas 28 6 7 15 32 47 -15 25
20 Valladolid 28 4 4 20 18 63 -45 16

Recent Trends

Valencia D W D L D

  • Last Match: D vs Girona (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Valladolid (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Osasuna (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 1)

Mallorca W D D D W

  • Last Match: W vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Las Palmas (Goals: 3 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Valencia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.89
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.93
# Clean Sheets: 0

Mallorca

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.11
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.44
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Valencia is predicted to win in their upcoming match against Mallorca, with a 46.0% probability of victory. The probability of the game ending in a draw stands at 26.0%. Despite being a lower-scoring contest with a 42.0% probability for under 2.5 goals, Valencia, currently in 16th place, will be eager for points to escape the relegation zone, while Mallorca, sitting in 7th, aims to solidify their position in the upper half of the league table.

Match Analysis

Valencia enters this match with a recent performance that shows improvement, having achieved a win and two draws in their last three games. Their win over Valladolid at home is particularly encouraging, as they managed to secure a 2-1 victory. Despite their struggles, Valencia has been able to score consistently, averaging 1.4 goals in their last five matches, though they have not managed a clean sheet. Mallorca, on the other hand, has demonstrated resilience with a win and two draws from their last three outings. Their recent draw against Athletic Bilbao away from home and a win against Espanyol highlight their potential to secure points even in challenging fixtures. However, Mallorca has found goals hard to come by, averaging just 0.6 goals per game in their last five matches and conceding an average of 1.6 goals.

Final Prediction

Valencia's predicted edge stems from their slightly better recent form and the necessity to climb out of the relegation zone. Their ability to find the net consistently could be a crucial factor. A key aspect to watch will be how Valencia's offensive efforts align with their expected goals, as they have shown potential to exceed their actual scoring tally. Fans should keep an eye on Valencia's attacking plays, as this could be the decisive factor in securing a vital home victory.

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