Miami FL, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Kamil Majchrzak vs Learner Tien: AI Prediction | Games, Aces & Double Faults

Kamil Majchrzak

Rank: #57
32%
VS

Learner Tien

Rank: #21
68%
Expected Total Games: 23.9
Predicted Winner: Learner Tien

Player Metrics

Kamil Majchrzak

Form Index: 40.5
ELO Rating: 907.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1560.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 118.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 6.6
Grass: 8.7
Serve Rating: 66.1
Return Rating: 66.8

Learner Tien

Form Index: 56.3
ELO Rating: 1711.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1611.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.9
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 11.5
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 90.7

Recent Matches

Kamil Majchrzak

  • Last Match: vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-1) hard Miami 118 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Novak Djokovic (1-2) hard Indian Wells 132 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-1) hard Indian Wells 106 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (1-2) hard Dubai 112 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Arthur Fils (1-2) hard Doha 130 min

Learner Tien

  • Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) hard Indian Wells 66 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (2-1) hard Indian Wells 128 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (2-1) hard Indian Wells 129 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Adam Walton (2-0) hard Indian Wells 104 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tommy Paul (1-2) hard Delray Beach 134 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Kamil Majchrzak
vs
0
Learner Tien
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

At Miami (FL, U.S.A.), a Masters 1000 hard-court night session in the round of 64 pits Kamil Majchrzak against Learner Tien. The model favors Learner Tien, who is projected to win with a 68.05% probability to Majchrzak’s 31.95%, and the match is expected to contain about 23.94 games.

Match Analysis

Ranked 21, Learner Tien arrives with a much stronger statistical profile than No. 57 Kamil Majchrzak. Tien’s form index (56.30) and Elo (1,711.28) both sit well above Majchrzak’s form (40.49) and Elo (907.77). Fatigue is another clear edge for Tien — he has 0 minutes on court in this tournament versus Majchrzak’s 118 accumulated minutes — a factor that matters late in rallies and on return games. Surface strength indices are low for both players on hard (Tien 14.91, Majchrzak 7.70), but Tien still holds the advantage. Serve and return profiles strongly favor Tien: his mean serve index (97.08) towers above Majchrzak’s (66.14) by about 31 points, and his mean return index (90.69) exceeds Majchrzak’s (66.75) by roughly 24 points. Those are material gaps that suggest Tien will apply consistent pressure on Majchrzak’s service games while holding serve more comfortably himself. Over the last three matches Majchrzak has mixed results on hard courts — wins against Perricard and Kecmanovic sandwiching a straight-set loss to Djokovic — showing grit but extra court time. Tien’s recent run at Indian Wells includes back-to-back wins over Shelton and Davidovich Fokina before a loss to Sinner, indicating high-level victories and fresher legs.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 23.9 Most likely outcome: 23 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The aces prediction for this hard-court match is 16.46 total; the predicted aces skew toward Tien given his superior serve metrics. Aces prediction and the predicted aces total reflect a medium-paced hard court that rewards big servers without producing the extreme ace counts of grass. Double faults prediction is modest — the expected double faults are 5.44 for the match — but Tien’s heavy serving load could concentrate many of the aces while keeping his own double faults low relative to Majchrzak.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 16.5 Most likely: 16 aces
Expected Total Double Faults 5.4 Most likely: 5 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

Final Prediction

Tien’s combination of superior serve, return metrics, higher Elo and fresher legs explain his clear edge in the projection. Watch how Tien’s serve dominance translates into short service games; if Majchrzak cannot extend rallies on return, the match may finish quickly.

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