Bundesliga 2024-2025: Leverkusen vs Augsburg Prediction - 26 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Leverkusen

Home Team
94%
VS

Augsburg

Away Team
2%
Draw: 4%
Over 2.5: 56%
Under 2.5: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 30 22 6 2 87 29 58 72
2 Leverkusen 30 18 10 2 64 35 29 64
3 Ein Frankfurt 30 15 7 8 58 42 16 52
4 RB Leipzig 30 13 10 7 48 38 10 49
5 Freiburg 30 14 6 10 43 47 -4 48
6 Mainz 30 13 8 9 48 36 12 47
7 Dortmund 30 13 6 11 57 47 10 45
8 Werder Bremen 30 13 6 11 48 54 -6 45
9 M'gladbach 30 13 5 12 48 46 2 44
10 Augsburg 30 11 10 9 33 40 -7 43
11 Stuttgart 30 11 8 11 56 50 6 41
12 Wolfsburg 30 10 9 11 53 47 6 39
13 Union Berlin 30 9 8 13 30 44 -14 35
14 St Pauli 30 8 6 16 26 36 -10 30
15 Hoffenheim 30 7 9 14 38 55 -17 30
16 Heidenheim 30 6 4 20 32 60 -28 22
17 Bochum 30 5 5 20 29 62 -33 20
18 Holstein Kiel 30 4 7 19 41 71 -30 19

Recent Trends

Leverkusen D D W W W

  • Last Match: D vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Union Berlin (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Bochum (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Stuttgart (Goals: 4 - 3)

Augsburg D W L D W

  • Last Match: D vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Bochum (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leverkusen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.57
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.98
# Clean Sheets: 2

Augsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.79
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.54
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Leverkusen and Augsburg sees the home team heavily favored with a 94.0% probability of winning. There is also a 56.0% chance that the match will feature over 2.5 goals. Currently, Leverkusen is positioned second in the league standings, while Augsburg is in the middle of the table at the 10th spot.

Match Analysis

Leverkusen's recent form has been steady, boasting an unbeaten streak in their last three matches. They secured a narrow win against Heidenheim and played out draws against St Pauli and Union Berlin. Despite these results, Leverkusen's defense has shown resilience, conceding only one goal in their last three outings. Their average goals scored is 1.2 per game, while they have managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five matches. These performances underline their defensive solidity, which could be crucial in their upcoming encounter. Augsburg's recent games have been a mixed bag. They achieved a victory against Bochum and held Eintracht Frankfurt to a goalless draw but suffered a defeat at the hands of league leaders Bayern Munich. Augsburg's attack has averaged 1.4 goals per game in the last five matches, whereas their defense has been somewhat leaky, conceding 0.4 goals per game. Despite a couple of clean sheets recently, their expected goals conceded metric indicates potential vulnerabilities in their defense.

Final Prediction

Leverkusen appears to have a significant edge in this matchup, primarily due to their solid defensive performances and higher league position. The key factor to watch will be whether Augsburg's attack can break through Leverkusen's robust defense, which has been their foundation in maintaining their position close to the top of the table. The likelihood of a high-scoring game further adds excitement to this encounter, promising an engaging contest for football fans.

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