Corners Predictions
Expected total corners with full probability distributions
Updated: 19 May 2026Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.
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How Corners Predictions Work
Our Poisson regression model predicts the total number of corners in each match. Unlike a simple average, the model outputs a complete probability distribution — the likelihood of every possible corner count from 0 to 25+. This lets you evaluate over/under lines at any threshold (e.g., over 9.5, over 10.5) by reading the cumulative probability directly. Expand any row to see the full distribution curve.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are corners predictions?
Our AI model predicts the total number of corners in a match using a Poisson regression trained on 10 seasons of European football data. Instead of a single number, you get the full probability distribution — useful for evaluating over/under corner lines at any threshold.
How do I use the corners distribution chart?
The PDF chart shows the probability of each specific corner count. The CDF chart shows the probability of corners being over any threshold — read off over 9.5, over 10.5, etc. directly. Full guide to probability charts.
Which leagues are included?
This page aggregates predictions from Serie A, La Liga, Bundesliga, Premier League, and Ligue 1. Use the league filter pills to focus on a specific competition.
What is the average number of corners per match?
Across the top 5 European leagues, matches average 9-11 corners. The Premier League tends to produce the most corners (~10.5), while La Liga averages slightly fewer (~9.5). Our model accounts for these league-specific patterns.
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