Bundesliga 2024-2025: Stuttgart vs Augsburg Prediction - 11 May 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Stuttgart

Home Team
87%
VS

Augsburg

Away Team
6%
Draw: 8%
Over 2.5: 66%
Under 2.5: 34%
Goal: 59%
No Goal: 41%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 32 23 7 2 93 32 61 76
2 Leverkusen 32 19 11 2 68 37 31 68
3 Ein Frankfurt 32 16 8 8 63 43 20 56
4 Freiburg 32 15 7 10 46 49 -3 52
5 Dortmund 32 15 6 11 64 49 15 51
6 RB Leipzig 32 13 11 8 51 45 6 50
7 Mainz 32 13 9 10 49 40 9 48
8 Werder Bremen 32 13 8 11 50 56 -6 47
9 M'gladbach 32 13 6 13 55 54 1 45
10 Stuttgart 32 12 8 12 57 51 6 44
11 Augsburg 32 11 10 11 34 45 -11 43
12 Wolfsburg 32 10 9 13 53 52 1 39
13 Union Berlin 32 9 10 13 33 47 -14 37
14 St Pauli 32 8 7 17 26 37 -11 31
15 Hoffenheim 32 7 10 15 44 62 -18 31
16 Heidenheim 32 7 5 20 33 60 -27 26
17 Holstein Kiel 32 6 7 19 48 75 -27 25
18 Bochum 32 5 7 20 30 63 -33 22

Recent Trends

Stuttgart W L D L W

  • Last Match: W vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Heidenheim (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Union Berlin (Goals: 4 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Bochum (Goals: 4 - 0)

Augsburg L L D W L

  • Last Match: L vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Bochum (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 3)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Stuttgart

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.68
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.66
# Clean Sheets: 2

Augsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.87
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.35
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Stuttgart and Augsburg is heavily tipped in favor of the home team, with an 87.0% probability of Stuttgart securing a win. With a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 66.0%, fans can expect an engaging match filled with scoring opportunities. Currently, Stuttgart sits in 10th place in the Bundesliga standings, while Augsburg is right behind them in 11th, separated by just one point.

Match Analysis

In recent matches, Stuttgart has experienced a mixed bag of results. They claimed victory against St Pauli with a narrow 1-0 win away from home, but suffered a home defeat to Heidenheim, and were involved in a thrilling 4-4 draw with Union Berlin. Despite scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match in their last five outings, Stuttgart has shown vulnerability in defense, conceding an average of 2.4 goals. However, their expected goals (xG) metric of 1.678 suggests they have been creating quality chances. Augsburg, on the other hand, has struggled in recent fixtures, losing to Holstein Kiel and Leverkusen, and managing a goalless draw against Ein Frankfurt. Their performances have seen them score an average of 1.4 goals per game while maintaining a relatively solid defense, conceding just 0.8 goals on average. Despite these statistics, Augsburg's expected goals (xG) of 0.8699999999999999 indicates a lack of clear-cut opportunities, which may hinder their attacking prospects against Stuttgart.

Final Prediction

Stuttgart's edge in this matchup can be attributed to their superior chance creation, reflected in their higher expected goals metric, despite recent defensive lapses. Fans should keep an eye on Stuttgart's ability to convert their chances, as this could prove decisive in securing the predicted victory. With Augsburg's recent struggles to capitalize on goal-scoring opportunities, Stuttgart will likely capitalize on their home advantage to clinch the win.

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