Bundesliga 2024-2025: Union Berlin vs Werder Bremen Prediction - 3 May 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Union Berlin

Home Team
37%
VS

Werder Bremen

Away Team
37%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 31 23 6 2 90 29 61 75
2 Leverkusen 31 19 10 2 66 35 31 67
3 Ein Frankfurt 31 16 7 8 62 42 20 55
4 Freiburg 31 15 6 10 44 47 -3 51
5 RB Leipzig 31 13 10 8 48 42 6 49
6 Dortmund 31 14 6 11 60 49 11 48
7 Mainz 31 13 8 10 48 39 9 47
8 Werder Bremen 31 13 7 11 48 54 -6 46
9 M'gladbach 31 13 5 13 51 50 1 44
10 Augsburg 31 11 10 10 33 42 -9 43
11 Stuttgart 31 11 8 12 56 51 5 41
12 Wolfsburg 31 10 9 12 53 48 5 39
13 Union Berlin 31 9 9 13 31 45 -14 36
14 St Pauli 31 8 7 16 26 36 -10 31
15 Hoffenheim 31 7 9 15 40 58 -18 30
16 Heidenheim 31 7 4 20 33 60 -27 25
17 Holstein Kiel 31 5 7 19 45 74 -29 22
18 Bochum 31 5 6 20 30 63 -33 21

Recent Trends

Union Berlin D D D W W

  • Last Match: D vs Bochum (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Stuttgart (Goals: 4 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Leverkusen (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Freiburg (Goals: 2 - 1)

Werder Bremen D W W W W

  • Last Match: D vs St Pauli (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Bochum (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 3 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Union Berlin

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.55
# Clean Sheets: 2

Werder Bremen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.24
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.16
# Clean Sheets: 4

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Union Berlin and Werder Bremen is predicted to be a closely contested affair, with both teams sharing a 37.0% probability of securing the win. However, Union Berlin is slightly favored to come out on top. The odds suggest a game with fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 49.0% chance of the total being under that mark. Currently, Union Berlin sits in 13th place, while Werder Bremen holds the 8th position in the Bundesliga standings.

Match Analysis

Union Berlin comes into this match having drawn their last three games against Bochum, Stuttgart, and Leverkusen. This streak of draws highlights their capacity to hold opponents but also their struggle to convert opportunities into wins. Union Berlin has managed to score an average of 1.4 goals per game in their previous five matches, while conceding 1.6. Despite their inconsistent form, they have kept two clean sheets, showcasing their defensive potential. On the other hand, Werder Bremen has been slightly more successful recently, with two wins and a draw in their last three outings. They secured victories against Bochum and Stuttgart, emphasizing their ability to grind out results. Werder Bremen's defense has been notably strong, with four clean sheets in the last five games, although they have conceded an average of 1.8 goals. Their offensive efforts have been consistent with an average of 1.4 goals scored, driven by a solid team performance.

Final Prediction

Union Berlin holds a marginal edge due to the home advantage and evenly matched statistics. The key factor to watch will be Union Berlin's ability to convert their chances into goals against a resilient Werder Bremen defense. Fans should keep an eye on how Union Berlin's defense handles the pressure, which could tip the balance in their favor.

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