Bundesliga 2024-2025: Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig Prediction - 10 May 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Werder Bremen

Home Team
52%
VS

RB Leipzig

Away Team
25%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 66%
Under 2.5: 34%
Goal: 59%
No Goal: 41%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 32 23 7 2 93 32 61 76
2 Leverkusen 32 19 11 2 68 37 31 68
3 Ein Frankfurt 32 16 8 8 63 43 20 56
4 Freiburg 32 15 7 10 46 49 -3 52
5 Dortmund 32 15 6 11 64 49 15 51
6 RB Leipzig 32 13 11 8 51 45 6 50
7 Mainz 32 13 9 10 49 40 9 48
8 Werder Bremen 32 13 8 11 50 56 -6 47
9 M'gladbach 32 13 6 13 55 54 1 45
10 Stuttgart 32 12 8 12 57 51 6 44
11 Augsburg 32 11 10 11 34 45 -11 43
12 Wolfsburg 32 10 9 13 53 52 1 39
13 Union Berlin 32 9 10 13 33 47 -14 37
14 St Pauli 32 8 7 17 26 37 -11 31
15 Hoffenheim 32 7 10 15 44 62 -18 31
16 Heidenheim 32 7 5 20 33 60 -27 26
17 Holstein Kiel 32 6 7 19 48 75 -27 25
18 Bochum 32 5 7 20 30 63 -33 22

Recent Trends

Werder Bremen D D W W W

  • Last Match: D vs Union Berlin (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs St Pauli (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Bochum (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 2 - 0)

RB Leipzig D L D W W

  • Last Match: D vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Holstein Kiel (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 3 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Werder Bremen

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.11
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.06
# Clean Sheets: 3

RB Leipzig

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.31
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.49
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Werder Bremen is favored to secure a victory with a 52% probability. The expectation is for a match with plenty of action, as there is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Werder Bremen sits in 8th place, whereas RB Leipzig is slightly ahead in 6th position.

Match Analysis

Werder Bremen has shown resilience in their recent performances. They have managed to avoid defeat in their last three games, securing a win against Bochum and drawing with both Union Berlin and St Pauli. Defensively, they've been robust, keeping three clean sheets in their last five matches and conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game. Their offensive efforts are highlighted by an average of 1.2 goals scored per game, supported by a solid expected goals figure of 2.114, indicating a proactive attacking approach. RB Leipzig, on the other hand, has been struggling to find consistency. In their last three outings, they were held to a high-scoring draw against Bayern Munich, suffered a heavy defeat to Eintracht Frankfurt, and drew with Holstein Kiel. Leipzig's attack has been underwhelming, averaging only 0.6 goals per game, although their expected goals suggest they might be underperforming in front of goal. Defensively, they have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game, with no clean sheets in their recent encounters.

Final Prediction

Werder Bremen seems to have the upper hand in this matchup, largely due to their recent solid defensive displays and consistent performance in front of goal. Their ability to maintain clean sheets could be crucial against an RB Leipzig side that has struggled to finish chances. A key factor to watch will be Werder Bremen's ability to capitalize on Leipzig's defensive vulnerabilities and convert their chances into goals.

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