La Liga 2024-2025: Las Palmas vs Vallecano Prediction - 9 May 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Las Palmas

Home Team
45%
VS

Vallecano

Away Team
28%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5: 55%
Under 2.5: 45%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 34 25 4 5 91 33 58 79
2 Real Madrid 34 23 6 5 69 33 36 75
3 Ath Madrid 34 19 10 5 56 27 29 67
4 Ath Bilbao 34 16 13 5 50 26 24 61
5 Villarreal 34 16 10 8 60 47 13 58
6 Betis 34 16 9 9 52 42 10 57
7 Celta 34 13 7 14 52 52 0 46
8 Vallecano 34 11 11 12 36 42 -6 44
9 Osasuna 34 10 14 10 42 50 -8 44
10 Mallorca 34 12 8 14 31 39 -8 44
11 Sociedad 34 12 7 15 32 37 -5 43
12 Valencia 34 10 12 12 40 51 -11 42
13 Getafe 34 10 9 15 31 31 0 39
14 Espanol 34 10 9 15 36 44 -8 39
15 Girona 34 10 8 16 41 52 -11 38
16 Sevilla 34 9 11 14 37 46 -9 38
17 Alaves 34 8 11 15 35 46 -11 35
18 Las Palmas 34 8 8 18 40 56 -16 32
19 Leganes 34 6 13 15 32 51 -19 31
20 Valladolid 34 4 4 26 25 83 -58 16

Recent Trends

Las Palmas L L W W L

  • Last Match: L vs Valencia (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Getafe (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 3)

Vallecano W L D L L

  • Last Match: W vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 4)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Las Palmas

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.34
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.68
# Clean Sheets: 1

Vallecano

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.23
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.27
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Las Palmas is favored to secure a victory against Vallecano with a 45.0% probability, compared to Vallecano's 28.0% chance. The game is expected to feature more than 2.5 goals, with a 55.0% likelihood. Currently, Las Palmas is positioned at 18th in La Liga, while Vallecano holds the 8th spot.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Las Palmas has shown mixed results, notably with a win over Atletico Madrid, a high-caliber team, which indicates their potential to challenge stronger opponents. Although they have suffered losses to Valencia and Athletic Bilbao, their ability to score against these teams suggests an attacking intent. Defensively, their recent form shows vulnerability, with an average of 2.0 goals conceded over the last five matches, but they did manage one clean sheet. Vallecano's recent form includes a home victory against Getafe, a draw with Valencia, and a heavy defeat to Atletico Madrid. While their goal-scoring average stands at 0.8 in the last five matches, they have shown resilience, particularly in defense, securing a clean sheet against Getafe. However, their defensive weakness is evident with an average of 1.8 goals conceded per match in the last five outings, highlighting potential areas for Las Palmas to exploit.

Final Prediction

Las Palmas appears to have a slight edge due to their ability to score and their home advantage, offering them a pathway to victory against Vallecano. A key factor to watch will be Las Palmas's offensive plays and their ability to capitalize on Vallecano's defensive lapses, which could significantly influence the outcome.

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