La Liga 2024-2025: Mallorca vs Valladolid Prediction - 10 May 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Mallorca

Home Team
89%
VS

Valladolid

Away Team
4%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 53%
Under 2.5: 47%
Goal: 51%
No Goal: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 34 25 4 5 91 33 58 79
2 Real Madrid 34 23 6 5 69 33 36 75
3 Ath Madrid 34 19 10 5 56 27 29 67
4 Ath Bilbao 34 16 13 5 50 26 24 61
5 Villarreal 34 16 10 8 60 47 13 58
6 Betis 34 16 9 9 52 42 10 57
7 Celta 34 13 7 14 52 52 0 46
8 Vallecano 34 11 11 12 36 42 -6 44
9 Osasuna 34 10 14 10 42 50 -8 44
10 Mallorca 34 12 8 14 31 39 -8 44
11 Sociedad 34 12 7 15 32 37 -5 43
12 Valencia 34 10 12 12 40 51 -11 42
13 Getafe 34 10 9 15 31 31 0 39
14 Espanol 34 10 9 15 36 44 -8 39
15 Girona 34 10 8 16 41 52 -11 38
16 Sevilla 34 9 11 14 37 46 -9 38
17 Alaves 34 8 11 15 35 46 -11 35
18 Las Palmas 34 8 8 18 40 56 -16 32
19 Leganes 34 6 13 15 32 51 -19 31
20 Valladolid 34 4 4 26 25 83 -58 16

Recent Trends

Mallorca L L D W L

  • Last Match: L vs Girona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Leganes (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 2)

Valladolid L L L L L

  • Last Match: L vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 5)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Osasuna (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 4)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Mallorca

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.99
# Clean Sheets: 2

Valladolid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 3.07
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Mallorca and Valladolid is poised to heavily favor the home side, with an 89.0% probability of a Mallorca victory. The likelihood of Valladolid securing a win stands at just 4.0%, while a draw is considered a 7.0% possibility. As Mallorca sits at 10th place in the La Liga standings, they appear to have a significant edge over Valladolid, who languish at the bottom of the table in 20th position. The match is also expected to see more than 2.5 goals, with a 53.0% probability of this outcome.

Match Analysis

In recent performances, Mallorca has shown a tendency to struggle in front of goal, failing to score in their last three matches, which included losses to Girona and Barcelona, both away, and a goalless draw at home against Leganes. Despite their scoring woes, they have managed to maintain a decent defensive record with two clean sheets in their last five outings, backed by an average of 1.0 goals conceded per game. On the other hand, Valladolid's recent form has been less than inspiring, with three consecutive losses against Barcelona, Betis, and Osasuna. Their defense has been particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 4.0 goals per game over the last five matches. Offensively, they have managed to find the net with an average of 1.2 goals per game, yet this is not sufficient to compensate for their defensive frailties.

Final Prediction

Mallorca's advantage in this matchup largely stems from their defensive solidity compared to Valladolid's porous backline. With Valladolid's conceding rate alarmingly high, Mallorca's home advantage and their relatively stronger defensive record could prove decisive. A key factor to watch will be whether Mallorca can capitalize on Valladolid's defensive lapses to break their recent goal-scoring drought.

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