La Liga 2024-2025: Osasuna vs Ath Madrid Prediction - 15 May 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Osasuna

Home Team
10%
VS

Ath Madrid

Away Team
80%
Draw: 10%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 35 26 4 5 95 36 59 82
2 Real Madrid 35 23 6 6 72 37 35 75
3 Ath Madrid 35 20 10 5 60 27 33 70
4 Ath Bilbao 35 17 13 5 51 26 25 64
5 Villarreal 35 17 10 8 61 47 14 61
6 Betis 35 16 10 9 53 43 10 58
7 Celta 35 14 7 14 55 54 1 49
8 Vallecano 35 12 11 12 37 42 -5 47
9 Mallorca 35 13 8 14 33 40 -7 47
10 Valencia 35 11 12 12 43 51 -8 45
11 Osasuna 35 10 15 10 43 51 -8 45
12 Sociedad 35 12 7 16 32 41 -9 43
13 Getafe 35 10 9 16 31 34 -3 39
14 Espanol 35 10 9 16 38 47 -9 39
15 Girona 35 10 8 17 41 53 -12 38
16 Sevilla 35 9 11 15 39 49 -10 38
17 Alaves 35 8 11 16 35 47 -12 35
18 Leganes 35 7 13 15 35 53 -18 34
19 Las Palmas 35 8 8 19 40 57 -17 32
20 Valladolid 35 4 4 27 26 85 -59 16

Recent Trends

Osasuna D L W W W

  • Last Match: D vs Betis (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Villarreal (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Sevilla (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Valladolid (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Girona (Goals: 2 - 1)

Ath Madrid W D W L W

  • Last Match: W vs Sociedad (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Alaves (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Vallecano (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Las Palmas (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Valladolid (Goals: 4 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Osasuna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.41
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.34
# Clean Sheets: 1

Ath Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.88
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.98
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

With an impressive 80.0% probability, Atletico Madrid is predicted to triumph over Osasuna in their upcoming La Liga clash. The chances of a draw or a victory for the home side stand at a mere 10.0% each. Both teams occupy crucial positions on the league table, with Atletico Madrid sitting comfortably in 3rd place, eyeing a Champions League spot, while Osasuna is mid-table at 11th position. The game is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, adding an intriguing dynamic to the encounter.

Match Analysis

Osasuna's recent form has seen a mixed bag of results. They managed a narrow 1-0 win against Sevilla at home, indicating their ability to secure crucial points in familiar territory. However, an away draw against Betis and a high-scoring defeat at Villarreal highlight inconsistencies, particularly in defense, where they have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game in recent weeks. Their offensive output has been steady, with an average of 1.6 goals per game, supported by an expected goals metric of 1.41, suggesting they are creating decent opportunities. In contrast, Atletico Madrid has shown defensive solidity, boasting three clean sheets in their last five matches, which underscores their ability to stifle opponents. Their recent performances include a commanding 4-0 victory over Sociedad and a 3-0 win against Vallecano, both at home, showcasing their attacking prowess. However, a goalless draw at Alaves hints at occasional struggles in front of goal, reflected in their average of 0.8 goals scored per game. Despite this, their defensive resilience, with only an average of 1.0 goals conceded per game, provides them a strong foundation.

Final Prediction

Atletico Madrid's superior league standing and recent form, particularly their defensive strength, give them a notable edge over Osasuna. Their capability to maintain clean sheets and capitalize on scoring opportunities makes them the favorites. A key factor to watch in this encounter will be Atletico's ability to break down Osasuna’s defense, as their success in doing so could dictate the match's outcome.

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