La Liga 2024-2025: Real Madrid vs Mallorca Prediction - 14 May 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Real Madrid

Home Team
94%
VS

Mallorca

Away Team
2%
Draw: 4%
Over 2.5: 62%
Under 2.5: 38%
Goal: 50%
No Goal: 50%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 35 26 4 5 95 36 59 82
2 Real Madrid 35 23 6 6 72 37 35 75
3 Ath Madrid 35 20 10 5 60 27 33 70
4 Ath Bilbao 35 17 13 5 51 26 25 64
5 Villarreal 35 17 10 8 61 47 14 61
6 Betis 35 16 10 9 53 43 10 58
7 Celta 35 14 7 14 55 54 1 49
8 Vallecano 35 12 11 12 37 42 -5 47
9 Mallorca 35 13 8 14 33 40 -7 47
10 Valencia 35 11 12 12 43 51 -8 45
11 Osasuna 35 10 15 10 43 51 -8 45
12 Sociedad 35 12 7 16 32 41 -9 43
13 Getafe 35 10 9 16 31 34 -3 39
14 Espanol 35 10 9 16 38 47 -9 39
15 Girona 35 10 8 17 41 53 -12 38
16 Sevilla 35 9 11 15 39 49 -10 38
17 Alaves 35 8 11 16 35 47 -12 35
18 Leganes 35 7 13 15 35 53 -18 34
19 Las Palmas 35 8 8 19 40 57 -17 32
20 Valladolid 35 4 4 27 26 85 -59 16

Recent Trends

Real Madrid L W W W W

  • Last Match: L vs Barcelona (Goals: 3 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Celta (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 0)

Mallorca W L L D W

  • Last Match: W vs Valladolid (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Girona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Barcelona (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Leganes (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Real Madrid

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.80
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.39
# Clean Sheets: 3

Mallorca

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.66
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.50
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Real Madrid and Mallorca is highly anticipated, with Real Madrid poised as the clear favorites with a staggering 94.0% chance of victory. The match is expected to feature over 2.5 goals, with a probability of 62.0%. Real Madrid currently sits in second place in La Liga, while Mallorca occupies the 9th position.

Match Analysis

In their recent outings, Real Madrid has demonstrated formidable form. Despite a narrow loss to league leaders Barcelona, they bounced back with consecutive victories against Celta and Getafe, showcasing their resilience. Notably, Real Madrid has maintained three clean sheets in their last five encounters, indicating a solid defensive setup. Their offensive prowess is highlighted by an average of 2.0 goals per game and an expected goals figure of 2.804, underscoring their attacking threat. On the other hand, Mallorca has had a mixed bag of results in their recent fixtures. After a morale-boosting win over Valladolid, they suffered back-to-back defeats against Girona and Barcelona. Mallorca's recent form indicates challenges in front of goal, with an average of just 0.6 goals scored per game. Defensively, they have shown some resilience, conceding an average of 0.8 goals and securing two clean sheets in their last five games. However, their expected goals conceded metric of 1.5 suggests potential vulnerabilities.

Final Prediction

Real Madrid's commanding statistics and recent performances give them a significant edge in this matchup. Their attacking capabilities and defensive solidity are expected to overpower Mallorca's attempts. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Real Madrid's attackers can capitalize on scoring opportunities against Mallorca's defense.

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