Ligue 1 2024-2025: Le Havre vs Rennes Prediction - 13 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Le Havre

Home Team
22%
VS

Rennes

Away Team
60%
Draw: 18%
Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 28 23 5 0 80 26 54 74
2 Marseille 28 16 4 8 57 38 19 52
3 Monaco 28 15 5 8 54 35 19 50
4 Strasbourg 28 14 7 7 46 35 11 49
5 Lyon 28 14 6 8 54 38 16 48
6 Nice 28 13 8 7 52 35 17 47
7 Lille 28 13 8 7 42 30 12 47
8 Brest 28 13 4 11 44 43 1 43
9 Lens 28 12 6 10 32 30 2 42
10 Auxerre 28 10 8 10 39 39 0 38
11 Toulouse 28 9 7 12 37 36 1 34
12 Rennes 28 10 2 16 38 38 0 32
13 Nantes 28 7 9 12 33 47 -14 30
14 Angers 28 7 6 15 26 46 -20 27
15 Le Havre 28 8 3 17 31 57 -26 27
16 Reims 28 6 8 14 29 42 -13 26
17 St Etienne 28 6 5 17 28 64 -36 23
18 Montpellier 28 4 3 21 21 64 -43 15

Recent Trends

Le Havre W W L D W

  • Last Match: W vs Montpellier (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Nantes (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Lyon (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs St Etienne (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Lens (Goals: 4 - 3)

Rennes L W L L W

  • Last Match: L vs Auxerre (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Angers (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Lens (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Paris SG (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Montpellier (Goals: 4 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Le Havre

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.73
# Clean Sheets: 1

Rennes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.14
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.44
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Rennes are the favorites to win their upcoming match against Le Havre, with a predicted probability of 60.0% for an away win. Le Havre's chances stand at 22.0%, while the likelihood of a draw is 18.0%. The game is expected to see over 2.5 goals, with a 58.0% probability. Currently, Rennes sit in 12th place in Ligue 1 with 32 points, whereas Le Havre are in 15th place, trailing with 27 points.

Match Analysis

Le Havre have shown mixed performances in their recent outings. They secured a convincing 2-0 victory away against Montpellier and followed it up with a narrow 3-2 win at home against Nantes. However, they struggled against Lyon, suffering a 4-2 defeat on the road. Le Havre's defense has been a concern, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game over the last five matches, which might pose a significant challenge against Rennes' attacking prowess. Rennes, on the other hand, have been inconsistent as well, with a win sandwiched between two losses. They managed a solid 3-0 triumph away at Angers but were unable to find the back of the net against Auxerre and Lens, both times losing 1-0. Despite these setbacks, Rennes' average of 2.2 goals per game in the last five matches highlights their offensive capabilities. The team's improved defensive record, with an average of just 0.8 goals conceded per game, could provide them with the edge they need against Le Havre's struggling defense.

Final Prediction

Rennes' stronger attacking and defensive metrics provide them with a distinct advantage in this matchup against Le Havre. Their ability to score goals and maintain a tight defense could be crucial factors in securing the victory. Fans should keep an eye on Rennes' forward line, as their performance could be the deciding factor in this encounter.

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