Ligue 1 2024-2025: Lyon vs Lille Prediction - 5 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Lyon

Home Team
47%
VS

Lille

Away Team
29%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 66%
Under 2.5: 34%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 27 22 5 0 79 26 53 71
2 Monaco 27 15 5 7 53 33 20 50
3 Marseille 27 15 4 8 54 36 18 49
4 Nice 27 13 8 6 51 33 18 47
5 Lille 27 13 8 6 41 28 13 47
6 Strasbourg 27 13 7 7 45 35 10 46
7 Lyon 27 13 6 8 52 37 15 45
8 Brest 27 12 4 11 42 42 0 40
9 Lens 27 11 6 10 31 30 1 39
10 Auxerre 27 9 8 10 38 39 -1 35
11 Toulouse 27 9 7 11 35 33 2 34
12 Rennes 27 10 2 15 38 37 1 32
13 Nantes 27 6 9 12 31 46 -15 27
14 Angers 27 7 6 14 26 45 -19 27
15 Reims 27 6 8 13 29 41 -12 26
16 Le Havre 27 7 3 17 29 57 -28 24
17 St Etienne 26 5 5 16 26 63 -37 20
18 Montpellier 26 4 3 19 21 60 -39 15

Recent Trends

Lyon L W W W L

  • Last Match: L vs Strasbourg (Goals: 2 - 4)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Le Havre (Goals: 4 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Nice (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Brest (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Paris SG (Goals: 2 - 3)

Lille W L W L W

  • Last Match: W vs Lens (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Nantes (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Montpellier (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Paris SG (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Monaco (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lyon

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.15
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.58
# Clean Sheets: 1

Lille

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.96
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.57
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Lyon and Lille is predicted to tilt in favor of the home side, Lyon, with a 47.0% probability of winning. Lille's chances of emerging victorious stand at 29.0%, while a draw holds a 24.0% possibility. Lyon currently sits in 7th place in the Ligue 1 standings, while Lille is just ahead in 5th position. The match is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 66.0% chance of producing over 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Lyon enters this fixture having claimed two victories in their last three matches, with a significant win over Nice away from home and a high-scoring triumph against Le Havre. Despite a recent setback against Strasbourg, Lyon has shown an ability to find the back of the net, averaging 2.4 goals across their last five games. Defensively, they have been somewhat porous, conceding an average of 1.2 goals. Their recent form is supported by an expected goals (xG) average of 2.152, indicating a strong attacking threat. On the other hand, Lille's recent performances have been a mixed bag. They secured wins against Montpellier and Lens but stumbled against Nantes. Lille's attack has been relatively subdued, averaging just 0.8 goals per game over their last five outings. Nevertheless, their expected goals (xG) tally of 1.962 suggests they have been creating quality chances. Defensively, they have been slightly vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.4 goals, yet they have managed to keep two clean sheets in their last five matches.

Final Prediction

Lyon's edge in this encounter lies in their potent attack, bolstered by a higher average of goals scored and a promising xG metric. Lille's challenge will be to contain Lyon's offensive prowess while seeking to capitalize on their own scoring opportunities. A key factor to watch will be Lyon's ability to maintain their attacking momentum against Lille's resilient defense. This match promises an engaging contest with potential for plenty of goal-mouth action.

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