Ligue 1 2024-2025: Nantes vs Strasbourg Prediction - 9 Mar 2025
Result | Under-Over 2.5
Nantes
Home Team
33%
VS
Strasbourg
Away Team
42%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5:
45%
Under 2.5:
55%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 24 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 66 | 23 | 43 | 62 |
| 2 | Marseille | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 29 | 23 | 49 |
| 3 | Nice | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 46 |
| 4 | Monaco | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Lyon | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 31 | 13 | 39 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 32 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Lens | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 33 |
| 10 | Brest | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Rennes | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 29 |
| 12 | Auxerre | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 28 |
| 13 | Angers | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 27 |
| 14 | Nantes | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 | Reims | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 22 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 20 |
| 17 | St Etienne | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 24 | 56 | -32 | 19 |
| 18 | Montpellier | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 21 | 58 | -37 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Nantes
- Last Match: vs Marseille (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 3 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 7)
- 4th Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Reims (Goals: 2 - 1)
Strasbourg
- Last Match: vs Auxerre (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Brest (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lens (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Montpellier (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Rennes (Goals: 0 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Nantes
Average Expected Goals (xG):
2.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.99
# Clean Sheets:
0
Strasbourg
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.44
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.52
# Clean Sheets:
4
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Nantes and Strasbourg is predicted to favor the visiting team, Strasbourg, with a 42% probability of winning, compared to Nantes' 33%. The likelihood of a draw is 25%. The match is expected to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 45% chance. Currently, Strasbourg holds the 7th position in Ligue 1, while Nantes lags behind in 14th place.
Match Analysis
In recent performances, Nantes has struggled to maintain consistent form. They suffered losses against Marseille and Monaco, conceding a hefty seven goals in the latter match. However, they managed a solid victory against Lens on home turf, scoring three goals. The advanced metrics reflect Nantes' vulnerability, with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per game over the last five matches, and no clean sheets during this period.
Conversely, Strasbourg has been on a more positive trajectory. They secured two away victories against Auxerre and Lens, and managed a goalless draw against Brest. Remarkably, Strasbourg has kept four clean sheets in their last five outings, showcasing a robust defense. Their ability to maintain a low average of 0.6 goals conceded per game could be a key factor in their favor.
Final Prediction
Strasbourg's recent defensive solidity gives them an edge over Nantes, who have been inconsistent and defensively fragile. The visitors' ability to keep clean sheets and their disciplined approach might be pivotal in securing a victory. Watch out for Strasbourg's defensive organization, which could be the deciding factor in this encounter.
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