Ligue 1 2024-2025: Nice vs Nantes Prediction - 4 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Nice

Home Team
85%
VS

Nantes

Away Team
7%
Draw: 9%
Over 2.5: 60%
Under 2.5: 40%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 27 22 5 0 79 26 53 71
2 Monaco 27 15 5 7 53 33 20 50
3 Marseille 27 15 4 8 54 36 18 49
4 Nice 27 13 8 6 51 33 18 47
5 Lille 27 13 8 6 41 28 13 47
6 Strasbourg 27 13 7 7 45 35 10 46
7 Lyon 27 13 6 8 52 37 15 45
8 Brest 27 12 4 11 42 42 0 40
9 Lens 27 11 6 10 31 30 1 39
10 Auxerre 27 9 8 10 38 39 -1 35
11 Toulouse 27 9 7 11 35 33 2 34
12 Rennes 27 10 2 15 38 37 1 32
13 Nantes 27 6 9 12 31 46 -15 27
14 Angers 27 7 6 14 26 45 -19 27
15 Reims 27 6 8 13 29 41 -12 26
16 Le Havre 27 7 3 17 29 57 -28 24
17 St Etienne 26 5 5 16 26 63 -37 20
18 Montpellier 26 4 3 19 21 60 -39 15

Recent Trends

Nice L D L W W

  • Last Match: L vs Monaco (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Auxerre (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Lyon (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs St Etienne (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Montpellier (Goals: 2 - 0)

Nantes L W L L W

  • Last Match: L vs Le Havre (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Lille (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Strasbourg (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Marseille (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Lens (Goals: 3 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Nice

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.28
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.89
# Clean Sheets: 1

Nantes

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.21
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.72
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Nice and Nantes is predicted to heavily favor the home team, Nice, with an 85% probability of winning. A high-scoring affair is expected, with a 60% chance of the match seeing over 2.5 goals. Currently, Nice is positioned 4th in the Ligue 1 standings, while Nantes languishes in 13th place, making this a critical match for both teams for different reasons.

Match Analysis

Nice has had a challenging set of recent fixtures, suffering two losses and a draw in their last three matches. They narrowly lost 1-2 away to Monaco and were defeated 0-2 at home by Lyon. Their sole point came from a 1-1 draw at home against Auxerre. Despite these results, Nice's advanced metrics suggest they have been unlucky, with an average of 2.284 expected goals scored and only 0.888 expected goals conceded per game in their last five outings. Nantes, on the other hand, has only managed one win in their last three games, a 1-0 victory against Lille. However, they suffered defeats against Le Havre (2-3 away) and Strasbourg (0-1 at home). Nantes' defensive struggles are evident, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game in their last five matches, with an expected goals conceded figure of 2.716, highlighting vulnerabilities that Nice will look to exploit.

Final Prediction

Nice is well-positioned to capitalize on their home advantage and Nantes' defensive frailties, giving them a clear edge in this encounter. Football fans should keep an eye on Nice's ability to convert their higher expected goals into actual goals, which could be the key factor in securing a victory. The likelihood of a high-scoring match enhances the anticipation, promising an exciting showdown between the two teams.

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