Ligue 1 2024-2025: Strasbourg vs Brest Prediction - 23 Feb 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Strasbourg

Home Team
48%
VS

Brest

Away Team
26%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 53%
Under 2.5: 47%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Paris SG 22 17 5 0 59 20 39 56
2 Marseille 22 14 4 4 50 26 24 46
3 Nice 22 11 7 4 44 27 17 40
4 Monaco 22 12 4 6 44 29 15 40
5 Lille 22 10 8 4 36 22 14 38
6 Lyon 22 10 6 6 40 27 13 36
7 Strasbourg 22 9 6 7 37 32 5 33
8 Lens 22 9 6 7 25 22 3 33
9 Brest 22 10 2 10 35 38 -3 32
10 Toulouse 22 7 6 9 23 25 -2 27
11 Angers 22 7 5 10 23 31 -8 26
12 Auxerre 22 6 7 9 31 37 -6 25
13 Rennes 22 7 2 13 29 32 -3 23
14 Reims 22 5 7 10 26 34 -8 22
15 Nantes 22 4 9 9 25 39 -14 21
16 St Etienne 22 5 3 14 20 50 -30 18
17 Le Havre 22 5 2 15 18 43 -25 17
18 Montpellier 22 4 3 15 21 52 -31 15

Recent Trends

Strasbourg W W L W D

  • Last Match: W vs Lens (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Montpellier (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Rennes (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Lille (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Marseille (Goals: 1 - 1)

Brest D W L W W

  • Last Match: D vs Auxerre (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Nantes (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Paris SG (Goals: 2 - 5)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Le Havre (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Rennes (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Strasbourg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.83
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.08
# Clean Sheets: 2

Brest

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.62
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.80
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Strasbourg is favored to win against Brest with a 48% probability, while Brest's chances stand at 26%, and a draw is equally likely at 26%. This matchup is expected to be high-scoring with a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals. Strasbourg currently sits in 7th place in Ligue 1, just one point and two positions ahead of Brest in 9th place.

Match Analysis

Strasbourg enters this fixture buoyed by recent victories, having won two of their last three games. They secured back-to-back wins against Lens and Montpellier, both with clean sheets, before a narrow 1-0 defeat away at Rennes. Strasbourg's defense has been solid, evidenced by two clean sheets in their last five matches, and they average 1.6 goals scored per game over this period. Brest, on the other hand, has shown a mixed bag of results. They drew against Auxerre and convincingly beat Nantes away from home, but they were outclassed by Paris SG at home, conceding five goals. Brest has managed to maintain a balanced goal-scoring and conceding rate of 1.2 goals each over their last five matches, with two clean sheets to their name. Their expected goals metrics suggest they can create opportunities, but they often fall short defensively.

Final Prediction

Strasbourg's recent form, coupled with their home advantage, gives them an edge over Brest. Their ability to maintain clean sheets and capitalize on scoring opportunities could be decisive. Fans should watch for Strasbourg's defensive resilience and whether Brest can exploit any lapses to turn the tide in their favor.

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