Premier League 2024-2025: Brighton vs Aston Villa Prediction - 2 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Brighton

Home Team
62%
VS

Aston Villa

Away Team
18%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5: 60%
Under 2.5: 40%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 29 21 7 1 69 27 42 70
2 Arsenal 29 16 10 3 53 24 29 58
3 Nott'm Forest 29 16 6 7 49 35 14 54
4 Chelsea 29 14 7 8 53 37 16 49
5 Man City 29 14 6 9 55 40 15 48
6 Newcastle 28 14 5 9 47 38 9 47
7 Brighton 29 12 11 6 48 42 6 47
8 Fulham 29 12 9 8 43 38 5 45
9 Aston Villa 29 12 9 8 41 45 -4 45
10 Bournemouth 29 12 8 9 48 36 12 44
11 Brentford 29 12 5 12 50 45 5 41
12 Crystal Palace 28 10 9 9 36 33 3 39
13 Man United 29 10 7 12 37 40 -3 37
14 Tottenham 29 10 4 15 55 43 12 34
15 Everton 29 7 13 9 32 36 -4 34
16 West Ham 29 9 7 13 33 49 -16 34
17 Wolves 29 7 5 17 40 58 -18 26
18 Ipswich 29 3 8 18 28 62 -34 17
19 Leicester 29 4 5 20 25 65 -40 17
20 Southampton 29 2 3 24 21 70 -49 9

Recent Trends

Brighton D W W W W

  • Last Match: D vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Southampton (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Chelsea (Goals: 3 - 0)

Aston Villa W L W D D

  • Last Match: W vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Chelsea (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Liverpool (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Ipswich (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Brighton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.80
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.15
# Clean Sheets: 2

Aston Villa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.91
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

Brighton is predicted to win their upcoming clash against Aston Villa, with a 62.0% probability of victory. This forecast is supported by their current 7th position in the Premier League standings, compared to Aston Villa's 9th place. Additionally, there is a 60.0% likelihood of the game producing over 2.5 goals, suggesting an exciting and eventful match.

Match Analysis

Brighton is coming into this match with strong momentum, having gone unbeaten in their last three games. They secured two consecutive home victories against Fulham and Bournemouth, each with a 2-1 scoreline, and managed a commendable 2-2 draw away at Manchester City. Their defensive solidity is notable, with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per game over their last five matches, complemented by two clean sheets. Aston Villa's recent form shows a mix of results, with a narrow 1-0 away win against Brentford and a significant 2-1 home victory over Chelsea. However, they suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat against Crystal Palace, indicating some defensive frailties. Aston Villa has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game in their last five outings, which may be a focal point for Brighton to exploit. Advanced metrics reveal that Brighton has a slight edge, averaging 1.6 goals scored per game and 1.8 expected goals, compared to Aston Villa's 1.0 goals and 1.042 expected goals. Brighton's ability to create and convert chances could be crucial in deciding the match outcome.

Final Prediction

Brighton's superior recent form and defensive resilience give them an advantage over Aston Villa. Their ability to consistently score, paired with a solid defensive record, suggests they are well-equipped to secure a win. Fans should keep an eye on Brighton's attacking prowess and how Aston Villa's defense copes, as this could be a decisive factor in the match.

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