Premier League 2024-2025: Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction - 4 May 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Chelsea

Home Team
29%
VS

Liverpool

Away Team
51%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5: 64%
Under 2.5: 36%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 34 25 7 2 80 32 48 82
2 Arsenal 34 18 13 3 63 29 34 67
3 Newcastle 34 19 5 10 65 44 21 62
4 Man City 34 18 7 9 66 43 23 61
5 Chelsea 34 17 9 8 59 40 19 60
6 Nott'm Forest 34 18 6 10 53 41 12 60
7 Aston Villa 34 16 9 9 54 49 5 57
8 Fulham 34 14 9 11 50 46 4 51
9 Brighton 34 13 12 9 56 55 1 51
10 Bournemouth 34 13 11 10 53 41 12 50
11 Brentford 34 14 7 13 58 50 8 49
12 Crystal Palace 34 11 12 11 43 47 -4 45
13 Wolves 34 12 5 17 51 61 -10 41
14 Man United 34 10 9 15 39 47 -8 39
15 Everton 34 8 14 12 34 41 -7 38
16 Tottenham 34 11 4 19 62 56 6 37
17 West Ham 34 9 9 16 39 58 -19 36
18 Ipswich 34 4 9 21 33 74 -41 21
19 Leicester 34 4 6 24 27 76 -49 18
20 Southampton 34 2 5 27 25 80 -55 11

Recent Trends

Chelsea W W D D W

  • Last Match: W vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Ipswich (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 0)

Liverpool W W W L W

  • Last Match: W vs Tottenham (Goals: 5 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Leicester (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Chelsea

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.95
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.98
# Clean Sheets: 3

Liverpool

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.94
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.89
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Chelsea and Liverpool is predicted to favor the visitors, with a 51.0% probability of Liverpool securing a win. The game is also expected to be high-scoring, with a 64.0% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored. Currently, Liverpool is sitting at the top of the Premier League table, while Chelsea is in fifth position, vying for a spot in European competitions next season.

Match Analysis

In recent matches, Chelsea has displayed a decent form, securing two wins and a draw. They edged out Everton at home with a narrow 1-0 victory and managed to overcome Fulham 2-1 away. However, a 2-2 draw at home against Ipswich highlighted some defensive vulnerabilities. Chelsea's recent performances have been underscored by a solid defensive record, achieving three clean sheets in their last five matches, and they've averaged 1.8 goals per game. Liverpool, on the other hand, has been in scintillating form, winning their last three matches convincingly. They dismantled Tottenham with a 5-1 home victory, overcame Leicester 1-0 away, and secured a 2-1 win against West Ham at home. The Reds have consistently found the back of the net, averaging 1.8 goals per game in their last five outings. Despite their attacking prowess, they have shown some defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match.

Final Prediction

Liverpool's edge in this encounter stems from their superior league position and recent winning streak, which boosts their confidence heading into this match. A key factor to watch will be Liverpool's attacking threat, which has been their hallmark throughout the season. Chelsea will need to leverage their solid defensive performances to counter Liverpool's offensive firepower.

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