Premier League 2024-2025: Everton vs West Ham Prediction - 15 Mar 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Everton

Home Team
58%
VS

West Ham

Away Team
20%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 29 21 7 1 69 27 42 70
2 Arsenal 28 15 10 3 52 24 28 55
3 Nott'm Forest 28 15 6 7 45 33 12 51
4 Chelsea 28 14 7 7 53 36 17 49
5 Man City 28 14 5 9 53 38 15 47
6 Newcastle 28 14 5 9 47 38 9 47
7 Brighton 28 12 10 6 46 40 6 46
8 Aston Villa 29 12 9 8 41 45 -4 45
9 Bournemouth 28 12 8 8 47 34 13 44
10 Fulham 28 11 9 8 41 38 3 42
11 Crystal Palace 28 10 9 9 36 33 3 39
12 Brentford 28 11 5 12 48 44 4 38
13 Tottenham 28 10 4 14 55 41 14 34
14 Man United 28 9 7 12 34 40 -6 34
15 Everton 28 7 12 9 31 35 -4 33
16 West Ham 28 9 6 13 32 48 -16 33
17 Wolves 28 6 5 17 38 57 -19 23
18 Ipswich 28 3 8 17 26 58 -32 17
19 Leicester 28 4 5 19 25 62 -37 17
20 Southampton 28 2 3 23 20 68 -48 9

Recent Trends

Everton D D D W D

  • Last Match: D vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Liverpool (Goals: 2 - 2)

West Ham L W W L L

  • Last Match: L vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Leicester (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Chelsea (Goals: 1 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Everton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.98
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.94
# Clean Sheets: 0

West Ham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.47
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.57
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Everton and West Ham is predicted to swing in favor of the home side, with a 58.0% probability of an Everton victory. Currently positioned at 15th in the Premier League standings, Everton will be looking to capitalize on their home advantage against 16th-placed West Ham. The match is expected to be a low-scoring affair, with a 47.0% chance of staying under 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

In recent fixtures, Everton has shown resilience but has been unable to secure a win, drawing their last three games. They have displayed a consistent scoring ability, netting a total of four goals across these matches. However, their defense has been equally leaky, conceding four goals as well. The Toffees' advanced metrics suggest they are capable of creating chances, with an average of 1.982 expected goals, yet their defense remains a concern with no clean sheets in the last five games. West Ham, on the other hand, has experienced a mixed bag of results, winning two of their last three encounters, including a notable away victory against Arsenal. Their recent performances indicate a solid defense, achieving two clean sheets. Despite this, their attacking output has been modest, averaging just one goal per game over the last five matches. Their expected goals metrics reveal a similar pattern, with 1.466 expected goals scored, highlighting their need for improved finishing.

Final Prediction

Everton's slight edge in predicted victory can be attributed to their home advantage and consistent goal-scoring ability. However, West Ham's potential to keep things tight at the back could pose a challenge. A key factor to watch will be Everton's ability to convert their expected goals into actual goals, which could be crucial in determining the outcome of the match. Fans should keep an eye on Everton's attacking play to see if they can break through West Ham's defense.

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