Premier League 2024-2025: Fulham vs Crystal Palace Prediction - 22 Feb 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Fulham

Home Team
50%
VS

Crystal Palace

Away Team
25%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 46%
Under 2.5: 54%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 25 18 6 1 60 24 36 60
2 Arsenal 25 15 8 2 51 22 29 53
3 Nott'm Forest 25 14 5 6 41 29 12 47
4 Man City 25 13 5 7 52 35 17 44
5 Bournemouth 25 12 7 6 44 29 15 43
6 Chelsea 25 12 7 6 47 34 13 43
7 Newcastle 25 12 5 8 42 33 9 41
8 Fulham 25 10 9 6 38 33 5 39
9 Aston Villa 25 10 8 7 35 38 -3 38
10 Brighton 25 9 10 6 38 38 0 37
11 Brentford 25 10 4 11 43 42 1 34
12 Tottenham 25 9 3 13 49 37 12 30
13 Crystal Palace 25 7 9 9 29 32 -3 30
14 Everton 25 7 9 9 27 31 -4 30
15 Man United 25 8 5 12 28 35 -7 29
16 West Ham 25 7 6 12 29 47 -18 27
17 Wolves 25 5 4 16 35 54 -19 19
18 Ipswich 25 3 8 14 23 50 -27 17
19 Leicester 25 4 5 16 25 55 -30 17
20 Southampton 25 2 3 20 19 57 -38 9

Recent Trends

Fulham W W L W L

  • Last Match: W vs Nott'm Forest (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Newcastle (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Man United (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Leicester (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 3)

Crystal Palace L W L W W

  • Last Match: L vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Leicester (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Fulham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.53
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.79
# Clean Sheets: 1

Crystal Palace

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.27
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Premier League clash between Fulham and Crystal Palace leans heavily in favor of the home side, Fulham, with a 50% probability of winning. Meanwhile, Crystal Palace holds a 25% chance of emerging victorious, with the same probability for a draw. Fulham, currently sitting in 8th position, is expected to deliver a performance that results in under 2.5 goals, given the predicted 46% probability for such an outcome. Crystal Palace finds themselves in 13th place, looking to upset the odds.

Match Analysis

Fulham's recent form has been somewhat mixed. They secured back-to-back victories against Nottingham Forest and Newcastle, both with a scoreline of 2-1, showcasing their ability to clinch close matches. However, they suffered a narrow 1-0 defeat at the hands of Manchester United. Fulham's average goals scored and conceded in their last five matches both stand at 1.2. Their expected goals (xG) of 1.526 compared to the expected goals conceded (xGA) of 0.792 suggests that they have been creating more opportunities than their opponents, which could be crucial in this fixture. Crystal Palace's form has been less consistent, suffering defeats against Everton and Brentford, both by the same 2-1 margin. However, they managed an impressive 2-0 victory against Manchester United away from home, a highlight that suggests they can perform well against strong opposition. Palace's average goals scored and conceded in their last five matches are 1.8 and 0.2, respectively. Their xG of 1.97 indicates they have been creating a significant number of chances, while their strong defensive record with three clean sheets is noteworthy.

Final Prediction

Fulham appears to have the upper hand due to their consistent ability to create more scoring opportunities than they concede. Their recent home form, coupled with Crystal Palace's inconsistencies, tips the scales in Fulham's favor. A key factor to watch will be Fulham's ability to capitalize on their expected goals advantage, as this could be pivotal in securing the win.

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