Premier League 2024-2025: Leicester vs Liverpool Prediction - 20 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Leicester

Home Team
1%
VS

Liverpool

Away Team
98%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5: 63%
Under 2.5: 37%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 32 23 7 2 74 31 43 76
2 Arsenal 32 17 12 3 57 27 30 63
3 Newcastle 32 18 5 9 61 40 21 59
4 Nott'm Forest 32 17 6 9 51 38 13 57
5 Man City 32 16 7 9 62 42 20 55
6 Chelsea 32 15 9 8 56 39 17 54
7 Aston Villa 32 15 9 8 49 46 3 54
8 Bournemouth 32 13 9 10 52 40 12 48
9 Fulham 32 13 9 10 47 43 4 48
10 Brighton 32 12 12 8 51 49 2 48
11 Brentford 32 12 7 13 52 48 4 43
12 Crystal Palace 32 11 10 11 41 45 -4 43
13 Everton 32 8 14 10 34 38 -4 38
14 Man United 32 10 8 14 38 45 -7 38
15 Tottenham 32 11 4 17 60 49 11 37
16 Wolves 32 10 5 17 47 61 -14 35
17 West Ham 32 9 8 15 36 54 -18 35
18 Ipswich 32 4 9 19 33 67 -34 21
19 Leicester 32 4 6 22 27 72 -45 18
20 Southampton 32 2 4 26 23 77 -54 10

Recent Trends

Leicester D L L L L

  • Last Match: D vs Brighton (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Man United (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 1)

Liverpool W L W W W

  • Last Match: W vs West Ham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Fulham (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Southampton (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Newcastle (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Leicester

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.66
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.15
# Clean Sheets: 0

Liverpool

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.58
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.17
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Leicester City and Liverpool is heavily tilted in favor of the visiting team, with a staggering 98.0% probability of Liverpool securing a victory. The match is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with a 63.0% chance of over 2.5 goals. Currently, Liverpool sits at the top of the Premier League standings with 76 points, while Leicester languishes in 19th position with only 18 points, facing relegation threats.

Match Analysis

Leicester City's recent form has been abysmal, with no wins in their last three outings. Their most recent performances include a 2-2 draw against Brighton and losses to Newcastle (0-3) and Manchester City (0-2). Their defense has been particularly porous, conceding an average of 2.8 goals in their last five matches, and they have failed to keep a clean sheet in this period. Leicester's offensive struggles are evident as well, with an average of just 0.0 goals scored in their recent games. On the other hand, Liverpool has been in solid form, winning two of their last three matches. Victories against West Ham (2-1) and Everton (1-0) have been interspersed with a narrow defeat to Fulham (2-3). The Reds have averaged 2.0 goals per game in their last five outings, showcasing their attacking prowess. Defensively, Liverpool has also been relatively stable, conceding an average of 1.4 goals and securing two clean sheets in the process. Their ability to create goal-scoring opportunities is highlighted by their average of 1.58 expected goals.

Final Prediction

Liverpool's superior form, both offensively and defensively, gives them a clear edge over Leicester. With Leicester's struggles in both scoring and defending, Liverpool is well-positioned to capitalize and secure a crucial win. A key factor to watch will be Liverpool's ability to exploit Leicester's defensive vulnerabilities, which could result in a high-scoring game.

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