Premier League 2024-2025: Newcastle vs Crystal Palace Prediction - 16 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Newcastle

Home Team
78%
VS

Crystal Palace

Away Team
10%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 32 23 7 2 74 31 43 76
2 Arsenal 32 17 12 3 57 27 30 63
3 Nott'm Forest 32 17 6 9 51 38 13 57
4 Newcastle 31 17 5 9 56 40 16 56
5 Man City 32 16 7 9 62 42 20 55
6 Chelsea 32 15 9 8 56 39 17 54
7 Aston Villa 32 15 9 8 49 46 3 54
8 Bournemouth 32 13 9 10 52 40 12 48
9 Fulham 32 13 9 10 47 43 4 48
10 Brighton 32 12 12 8 51 49 2 48
11 Brentford 32 12 7 13 52 48 4 43
12 Crystal Palace 31 11 10 10 41 40 1 43
13 Everton 32 8 14 10 34 38 -4 38
14 Man United 32 10 8 14 38 45 -7 38
15 Tottenham 32 11 4 17 60 49 11 37
16 Wolves 32 10 5 17 47 61 -14 35
17 West Ham 32 9 8 15 36 54 -18 35
18 Ipswich 32 4 9 19 33 67 -34 21
19 Leicester 32 4 6 22 27 72 -45 18
20 Southampton 32 2 4 26 23 77 -54 10

Recent Trends

Newcastle W W W W L

  • Last Match: W vs Man United (Goals: 4 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Leicester (Goals: 3 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Brentford (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Liverpool (Goals: 0 - 2)

Crystal Palace L W D W W

  • Last Match: L vs Man City (Goals: 2 - 5)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Brighton (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Southampton (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Ipswich (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Aston Villa (Goals: 4 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Newcastle

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.09
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.80
# Clean Sheets: 2

Crystal Palace

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.56
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.45
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Newcastle and Crystal Palace is heavily tipped in favor of the home team, with a 78.0% probability of a Newcastle victory. The likelihood of Crystal Palace securing a win stands at a mere 10.0%, while a draw is predicted at 12.0%. Sitting at 4th in the Premier League, Newcastle will be looking to consolidate their position, while 12th-placed Crystal Palace aims to climb higher up the table. The game is also expected to have over 2.5 goals, with a probability of 51.0%.

Match Analysis

Newcastle enters this fixture on a formidable run, having won their last three matches against Man United, Leicester, and Brentford. They have showcased offensive prowess, scoring a total of 9 goals in these encounters. Their defensive resilience has also been noteworthy, with two clean sheets in their recent run. Advanced metrics reveal that Newcastle averages 2.4 goals scored and 2.2 goals conceded per game over their last five matches, supported by expected goals metrics that suggest they are slightly outperforming in attack. Conversely, Crystal Palace has experienced a mixed bag of results recently. They suffered a heavy 5-2 defeat against Man City but bounced back with a win over Brighton and a draw against Southampton. Crystal Palace's performances have been characterized by an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded across their last five games. Their expected goals figures suggest they are performing in line with expectations, with 1.564 expected goals scored and 1.45 expected goals conceded.

Final Prediction

Newcastle's recent form and their higher league standing give them a noticeable edge in this matchup. Their potent attack combined with a robust defense suggests they possess the ingredients to secure a victory against Crystal Palace. A key factor to watch will be Newcastle's ability to maintain their attacking momentum, as Crystal Palace looks to exploit any defensive lapses to turn the tide in their favor.

Get Daily Football Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven football predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel