Premier League 2024-2025: Southampton vs Man City Prediction - 10 May 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Southampton

Home Team
1%
VS

Man City

Away Team
98%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5: 64%
Under 2.5: 36%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 35 25 7 3 81 35 46 82
2 Arsenal 35 18 13 4 64 31 33 67
3 Man City 35 19 7 9 67 43 24 64
4 Newcastle 35 19 6 10 66 45 21 63
5 Chelsea 35 18 9 8 62 41 21 63
6 Nott'm Forest 35 18 7 10 54 42 12 61
7 Aston Villa 35 17 9 9 55 49 6 60
8 Bournemouth 35 14 11 10 55 42 13 53
9 Brentford 35 15 7 13 62 53 9 52
10 Brighton 35 13 13 9 57 56 1 52
11 Fulham 35 14 9 12 50 47 3 51
12 Crystal Palace 35 11 13 11 44 48 -4 46
13 Wolves 35 12 5 18 51 62 -11 41
14 Everton 35 8 15 12 36 43 -7 39
15 Man United 35 10 9 16 42 51 -9 39
16 Tottenham 35 11 5 19 63 57 6 38
17 West Ham 35 9 10 16 40 59 -19 37
18 Ipswich 35 4 10 21 35 76 -41 22
19 Leicester 35 5 6 24 29 76 -47 21
20 Southampton 35 2 5 28 25 82 -57 11

Recent Trends

Southampton L L D L L

  • Last Match: L vs Leicester (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Fulham (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs West Ham (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Aston Villa (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 3)

Man City W W W W D

  • Last Match: W vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Aston Villa (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Everton (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 5 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Man United (Goals: 0 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Southampton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.69
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.32
# Clean Sheets: 0

Man City

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.28
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.07
# Clean Sheets: 3

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Southampton and Manchester City is heavily tilted in favor of the visitors. With an overwhelming 98% probability of Manchester City securing a victory, fans can expect a dominant display from the reigning English champions. Additionally, the likelihood of the match having over 2.5 goals stands at 64%, suggesting a high-scoring affair. Currently, Manchester City sits in third place in the Premier League, while Southampton languishes at the bottom of the table, in 20th position.

Match Analysis

Southampton's recent performances have been a testament to their struggles throughout the season. With only two wins in 35 matches and sitting at the foot of the table, their recent form has been dismal, with two losses and a draw in their last three encounters. They have managed to score only two goals while conceding five, indicating a fragile defense and a blunt attack. Their average goals scored in the last five games is a mere 0.6, coupled with an average of 2.4 goals conceded, highlighting their defensive frailties. Manchester City, on the other hand, has been in solid form, winning all of their last three matches. They have shown resilience at the back with three clean sheets in their last five games. Despite scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game in the same period, their expected goals metric of 1.284 suggests they are creating plenty of chances. City's defense has also been impressive, conceding only 1.2 goals on average in their recent outings, which will be crucial against a struggling Southampton side.

Final Prediction

Manchester City is poised to extend their winning streak, driven by their superior form, defensive solidity, and attacking prowess. The contrast between City's robust performances and Southampton's ongoing struggles offers a clear edge to the visitors. A key factor to watch in this matchup will be City's ability to convert their scoring chances, which could lead to a high-scoring game as predicted.

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