Premier League 2024-2025: Tottenham vs Southampton Prediction - 6 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Tottenham

Home Team
92%
VS

Southampton

Away Team
3%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5: 57%
Under 2.5: 43%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 30 22 7 1 70 27 43 73
2 Arsenal 30 17 10 3 55 25 30 61
3 Nott'm Forest 30 17 6 7 50 35 15 57
4 Chelsea 30 15 7 8 54 37 17 52
5 Man City 30 15 6 9 57 40 17 51
6 Newcastle 29 15 5 9 49 39 10 50
7 Aston Villa 30 13 9 8 44 45 -1 48
8 Brighton 30 12 11 7 48 45 3 47
9 Fulham 30 12 9 9 44 40 4 45
10 Bournemouth 30 12 8 10 49 38 11 44
11 Brentford 30 12 5 13 51 47 4 41
12 Crystal Palace 29 10 10 9 37 34 3 40
13 Man United 30 10 7 13 37 41 -4 37
14 Tottenham 30 10 4 16 55 44 11 34
15 Everton 30 7 13 10 32 37 -5 34
16 West Ham 30 9 7 14 33 50 -17 34
17 Wolves 30 8 5 17 41 58 -17 29
18 Ipswich 30 4 8 18 30 63 -33 20
19 Leicester 30 4 5 21 25 67 -42 17
20 Southampton 30 2 4 24 22 71 -49 10

Recent Trends

Tottenham L L D L W

  • Last Match: L vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Fulham (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Bournemouth (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Man City (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Ipswich (Goals: 4 - 1)

Southampton D L L L L

  • Last Match: D vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Wolves (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Chelsea (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Brighton (Goals: 0 - 4)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Tottenham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.98
# Clean Sheets: 0

Southampton

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.03
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 3.08
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

Tottenham is heavily favored to win with a 92.0% chance of victory against Southampton, who only have a 3.0% probability of taking the match. The game is expected to have over 2.5 goals with a 57.0% probability. Tottenham currently sits 14th in the Premier League standings, while Southampton is at the bottom in 20th position.

Match Analysis

In their recent matches, Tottenham has struggled to find form, suffering two losses and a draw. They were defeated by Chelsea and Fulham without scoring, while their home game against Bournemouth ended in a 2-2 draw. Despite this, Tottenham has shown some attacking potential, with an average of 1.0 goal per game in their last five encounters, although they have failed to keep a clean sheet during this period. On the other hand, Southampton's recent performances have been equally challenging. They managed a draw against Crystal Palace but succumbed to losses against Wolves and Liverpool. Their defense has been particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per game in their last five matches. Southampton’s offensive efforts have also been limited, with a slight edge over Tottenham in goal scoring, averaging 1.2 goals per game during this stretch.

Final Prediction

Tottenham is expected to have the upper hand mainly due to Southampton’s defensive frailties, which could be exploited by Tottenham's attacking lineup. A key factor to watch will be how well Tottenham can capitalize on Southampton's defensive lapses and whether they can break their recent streak of lackluster performances.

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