Premier League 2024-2025: West Ham vs Bournemouth Prediction - 5 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

West Ham

Home Team
21%
VS

Bournemouth

Away Team
62%
Draw: 16%
Over 2.5: 56%
Under 2.5: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 30 22 7 1 70 27 43 73
2 Arsenal 30 17 10 3 55 25 30 61
3 Nott'm Forest 30 17 6 7 50 35 15 57
4 Chelsea 30 15 7 8 54 37 17 52
5 Man City 30 15 6 9 57 40 17 51
6 Newcastle 29 15 5 9 49 39 10 50
7 Aston Villa 30 13 9 8 44 45 -1 48
8 Brighton 30 12 11 7 48 45 3 47
9 Fulham 30 12 9 9 44 40 4 45
10 Bournemouth 30 12 8 10 49 38 11 44
11 Brentford 30 12 5 13 51 47 4 41
12 Crystal Palace 29 10 10 9 37 34 3 40
13 Man United 30 10 7 13 37 41 -4 37
14 Tottenham 30 10 4 16 55 44 11 34
15 Everton 30 7 13 10 32 37 -5 34
16 West Ham 30 9 7 14 33 50 -17 34
17 Wolves 30 8 5 17 41 58 -17 29
18 Ipswich 30 4 8 18 30 63 -33 20
19 Leicester 30 4 5 21 25 67 -42 17
20 Southampton 30 2 4 24 22 71 -49 10

Recent Trends

West Ham L D L W W

  • Last Match: L vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Everton (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Newcastle (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Leicester (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Arsenal (Goals: 1 - 0)

Bournemouth L L D L L

  • Last Match: L vs Ipswich (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Brentford (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Brighton (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Wolves (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

West Ham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.87
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.67
# Clean Sheets: 2

Bournemouth

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.66
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between West Ham and Bournemouth seems to favor the visiting team, with a 62.0% probability of a Bournemouth victory. West Ham, currently in 16th place, seems to face a tough challenge against 10th-placed Bournemouth. Additionally, there's a 56.0% likelihood of the match seeing more than 2.5 goals, suggesting an exciting encounter.

Match Analysis

West Ham's recent form has been less than impressive, with only one draw and two losses in their last three matches. They've struggled to find the net, scoring only once while conceding three goals. Their defensive vulnerabilities are apparent, as seen in their recent 1-0 loss to Newcastle at home. On the other hand, Bournemouth's last three fixtures have been a mixed bag, with two losses at home against Ipswich and Brentford, and an away draw against Tottenham. Despite these results, Bournemouth has shown a knack for scoring, netting four goals in their last three outings. Looking at the advanced metrics, West Ham has scored an average of 1.0 goals and conceded 1.2 in their last five matches. Their expected goals (xG) scored and conceded are 0.87 and 1.67 respectively, indicating room for improvement in both attack and defense. Bournemouth, however, boasts a higher average of 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, with an xG of 1.974, suggesting a more potent offense. Despite not keeping a clean sheet in their last five games, their offensive capabilities could prove vital.

Final Prediction

Bournemouth's stronger attacking metrics and recent scoring record give them the upper hand in this matchup. Their ability to find the back of the net more consistently than West Ham could be the decisive factor. Fans should watch for Bournemouth's offensive strategies and how effectively West Ham can counter them, as these will likely determine the game's outcome.

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