Premier League 2024-2025: West Ham vs Nott'm Forest Prediction - 18 May 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

West Ham

Home Team
38%
VS

Nott'm Forest

Away Team
37%
Draw: 25%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Liverpool 36 25 8 3 83 37 46 83
2 Arsenal 36 18 14 4 66 33 33 68
3 Newcastle 36 20 6 10 68 45 23 66
4 Man City 36 19 8 9 67 43 24 65
5 Chelsea 36 18 9 9 62 43 19 63
6 Aston Villa 36 18 9 9 56 49 7 63
7 Nott'm Forest 36 18 8 10 56 44 12 62
8 Brentford 36 16 7 13 63 53 10 55
9 Brighton 36 14 13 9 59 56 3 55
10 Bournemouth 36 14 11 11 55 43 12 53
11 Fulham 36 14 9 13 51 50 1 51
12 Crystal Palace 36 12 13 11 46 48 -2 49
13 Everton 36 9 15 12 39 44 -5 42
14 Wolves 36 12 5 19 51 64 -13 41
15 West Ham 36 10 10 16 42 59 -17 40
16 Man United 36 10 9 17 42 53 -11 39
17 Tottenham 36 11 5 20 63 59 4 38
18 Ipswich 36 4 10 22 35 77 -42 22
19 Leicester 36 5 7 24 31 78 -47 22
20 Southampton 36 2 6 28 25 82 -57 12

Recent Trends

West Ham W D L D L

  • Last Match: W vs Man United (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Tottenham (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Brighton (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Southampton (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Liverpool (Goals: 1 - 2)

Nott'm Forest D D L W L

  • Last Match: D vs Leicester (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Crystal Palace (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Brentford (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Tottenham (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Everton (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

West Ham

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.11
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.13
# Clean Sheets: 1

Nott'm Forest

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.17
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.27
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

With a 38.0% probability of victory, West Ham is slightly favored to overcome Nott'm Forest, who have a 37.0% chance of winning. The game is anticipated to feature fewer than 2.5 goals, with odds standing at 48.0% for this outcome. In the current Premier League standings, West Ham finds themselves in 15th place, while Nott'm Forest sits considerably higher in 7th.

Match Analysis

West Ham comes into this match on the back of a mixed recent run. Their last three games saw them secure a notable 2-0 away victory against Man United but followed it up with a 1-1 draw at home against Tottenham and a narrow 3-2 away loss to Brighton. Defensively, they have managed one clean sheet in their last five matches, maintaining an average goal concession of 1.0 per game. Their scoring has been modest, with an average of 1.2 goals per game, which aligns closely with their expected goals of 1.112. Nott'm Forest, despite their higher league standing, have struggled for form lately. They have drawn their last two matches against Leicester (2-2) and Crystal Palace (1-1), and suffered a 2-0 home defeat to Brentford. Offensively, they have been more potent than West Ham, scoring an average of 2.2 goals in their last five games, though they have been let down by a shaky defense, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game with no clean sheets. Their expected goals conceded (2.27) highlights a vulnerability at the back.

Final Prediction

West Ham's slight edge in the prediction could be attributed to their recent ability to secure a clean sheet and their competitive performance against stronger teams. A key factor to watch in this match is Nott'm Forest's defensive resilience, as it could be pivotal in determining the outcome. The battle between West Ham's defense and Forest's attack will likely be the decisive element in this Premier League clash.

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