Serie A 2024-2025: Bologna vs Cagliari Prediction - 2 Mar 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Bologna

Home Team
87%
VS

Cagliari

Away Team
5%
Draw: 7%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 26 17 6 3 59 24 35 57
2 Napoli 26 17 5 4 42 21 21 56
3 Atalanta 26 16 6 4 59 26 33 54
4 Juventus 26 12 13 1 43 21 22 49
5 Lazio 26 14 5 7 47 34 13 47
6 Bologna 26 11 11 4 40 32 8 44
7 Fiorentina 26 12 6 8 41 28 13 42
8 Milan 26 11 8 7 38 28 10 41
9 Roma 26 11 7 8 40 29 11 40
10 Udinese 26 10 6 10 33 37 -4 36
11 Torino 26 7 10 9 29 32 -3 31
12 Genoa 26 7 9 10 24 34 -10 30
13 Como 26 7 7 12 32 41 -9 28
14 Verona 26 8 2 16 27 54 -27 26
15 Cagliari 26 6 7 13 26 40 -14 25
16 Lecce 26 6 7 13 18 42 -24 25
17 Parma 26 5 8 13 32 45 -13 23
18 Empoli 26 4 9 13 22 43 -21 21
19 Venezia 26 3 8 15 22 41 -19 17
20 Monza 26 2 8 16 21 43 -22 14

Recent Trends

Bologna W L W D W

  • Last Match: W vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Torino (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Lecce (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Como (Goals: 2 - 0)

Cagliari L D W L L

  • Last Match: L vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Parma (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Lazio (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 2)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 2.42
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.17
# Clean Sheets: 2

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.82
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.65
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Bologna and Cagliari is heavily tilted in favor of the home team, Bologna, with an 87.0% probability of victory. The likelihood of an away win for Cagliari is a mere 5.0%, while the chance of a draw stands at 7.0%. Positioned 6th in Serie A, Bologna is looking to solidify its upper-table stance, whereas Cagliari, sitting at 15th, aims to distance itself from the relegation zone. The predicted goal tally is expected to remain under 2.5 goals, with a 49.0% probability supporting this outcome.

Match Analysis

Bologna's recent form has been commendable, securing two wins in their last three outings. They defeated Milan 2-1 and edged past Torino 3-2, both at home, showcasing their scoring prowess. However, a 2-0 loss to Parma highlights some inconsistency. Despite that, Bologna's offense has been sharp, scoring an average of 2.4 goals in their last five games, backed by an expected goals (xG) rate of 2.418. Defensively, they've been fairly sturdy, conceding an average of 1.2 goals and achieving two clean sheets during this period. In contrast, Cagliari's recent performances reveal a more mixed bag. A narrow 1-0 loss to Juventus and a goalless draw against Atalanta indicate a struggle in the attacking third, though they did manage a 2-1 victory over Parma. Their goal-scoring average stands at 0.8 goals per game, with an xG of 0.822, reflecting their challenges in finding the net. Defensively, Cagliari concedes an average of 1.2 goals, and they have managed one clean sheet in their last five matches.

Final Prediction

Bologna holds a significant edge due to their superior recent form, especially at home, where they have shown a knack for scoring crucial goals. The advanced metrics further bolster Bologna's chances, with their higher goal-scoring average and consistent xG outperforming Cagliari's figures. A key factor to watch in this match will be Bologna's attacking dynamics, which could prove decisive against a Cagliari side struggling to find offensive rhythm.

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