Serie A 2024-2025: Bologna vs Juventus Prediction - 4 May 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Bologna

Home Team
27%
VS

Juventus

Away Team
53%
Draw: 20%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 34 22 8 4 54 25 29 74
2 Inter 34 21 8 5 72 33 39 71
3 Atalanta 34 19 8 7 67 31 36 65
4 Juventus 34 16 14 4 51 31 20 62
5 Bologna 34 16 13 5 52 37 15 61
6 Roma 34 17 9 8 49 32 17 60
7 Lazio 34 17 9 8 57 45 12 60
8 Fiorentina 34 17 8 9 53 34 19 59
9 Milan 34 15 9 10 53 38 15 54
10 Torino 34 10 13 11 38 39 -1 43
11 Como 34 11 9 14 44 48 -4 42
12 Udinese 34 11 8 15 36 48 -12 41
13 Genoa 34 9 12 13 29 41 -12 39
14 Cagliari 34 8 9 17 35 49 -14 33
15 Verona 34 9 5 20 30 62 -32 32
16 Parma 34 6 14 14 40 53 -13 32
17 Lecce 34 6 9 19 24 56 -32 27
18 Venezia 34 4 13 17 27 48 -21 25
19 Empoli 34 4 13 17 27 54 -27 25
20 Monza 34 2 9 23 25 59 -34 15

Recent Trends

Bologna D W L D W

  • Last Match: D vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 0)

Juventus W L W D W

  • Last Match: W vs Monza (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Bologna

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.93
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.90
# Clean Sheets: 3

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.18
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.77
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Bologna and Juventus are set to face off in a crucial Serie A clash, with Juventus predicted to come out on top, boasting a 53.0% probability of victory. Meanwhile, Bologna holds a 27.0% chance of winning, and the likelihood of a draw stands at 20.0%. Currently, Juventus sits in 4th place with 62 points, while Bologna is right behind them in 5th place with 61 points. The game is expected to see over 2.5 goals, with a 51.0% probability, suggesting an engaging match ahead.

Match Analysis

In their recent outings, Bologna's form has been mixed. They secured a hard-fought draw against Udinese, a notable victory over Inter at home, and suffered a defeat to Atalanta away. Bologna's recent performances have been underpinned by a solid defense, evidenced by three clean sheets in their last five matches, and they have averaged 2.2 goals per game in this period, showing their attacking potential. Juventus, on the other hand, have displayed inconsistency. They achieved victories over Monza and Lecce at home but stumbled with an away loss to Parma. Juventus has struggled to find the back of the net consistently, averaging just 0.8 goals per match across their last five games. However, their defense remains relatively solid with two clean sheets, and they have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game.

Final Prediction

Juventus holds an edge in this encounter, primarily due to their higher probability of victory and their ability to secure vital wins despite recent inconsistencies. A key factor to watch will be Bologna's defensive resilience against Juventus's attempts to break through, as this aspect could significantly influence the outcome of the match. With both teams closely matched in the standings, this game could potentially have significant implications for their respective positions in the league.

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