Serie A 2024-2025: Cagliari vs Venezia Prediction - 18 May 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Cagliari

Home Team
42%
VS

Venezia

Away Team
29%
Draw: 29%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%
Goal: 55%
No Goal: 45%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 36 23 9 4 57 27 30 78
2 Inter 36 23 8 5 75 33 42 77
3 Atalanta 36 21 8 7 73 32 41 71
4 Juventus 36 16 16 4 53 33 20 64
5 Lazio 36 18 10 8 59 46 13 64
6 Roma 36 18 9 9 51 34 17 63
7 Bologna 36 16 14 6 54 41 13 62
8 Milan 36 17 9 10 58 40 18 60
9 Fiorentina 36 17 8 11 54 37 17 59
10 Como 36 13 9 14 48 49 -1 48
11 Torino 36 10 14 12 39 42 -3 44
12 Udinese 36 12 8 16 39 51 -12 44
13 Genoa 36 9 13 14 32 45 -13 40
14 Cagliari 36 8 9 19 37 54 -17 33
15 Verona 36 9 6 21 31 64 -33 33
16 Parma 36 6 14 16 41 56 -15 32
17 Venezia 36 5 14 17 30 50 -20 29
18 Lecce 36 6 10 20 25 58 -33 28
19 Empoli 36 5 13 18 29 56 -27 28
20 Monza 36 3 9 24 27 64 -37 18

Recent Trends

Cagliari L L W L L

  • Last Match: L vs Como (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Verona (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Fiorentina (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 3)

Venezia W D L D W

  • Last Match: W vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Milan (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Empoli (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Monza (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Cagliari

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.86
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.44
# Clean Sheets: 1

Venezia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.12
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.80
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Cagliari and Venezia is predicted to favor the home side, Cagliari, with a 42.0% probability of winning. The match is expected to have fewer than 2.5 goals, reflecting a 45.0% chance for over 2.5 goals, but leaning towards a lower scoring affair. Currently, Cagliari sits in 14th place with 33 points in Serie A, while Venezia is battling relegation in 17th place with 29 points.

Match Analysis

Cagliari's recent form has been inconsistent, with a win sandwiched between two losses in their last three outings. They managed a solid 2-0 victory away against Verona but suffered defeats to Como and Udinese. The team's ability to score has been average, with an average of 1.2 goals per game in the last five matches, but defensive frailties are evident, conceding the same number of goals on average. Similarly, Venezia has shown mixed results in their recent performances. They secured a vital 2-1 victory at home against Fiorentina, demonstrating resilience despite their precarious league position. A draw against Torino and a loss to Milan indicate potential but also highlight vulnerabilities. Venezia's attacking and defensive metrics both average at 1.0 goals per game over the last five matches, suggesting a balanced yet fragile setup.

Final Prediction

Cagliari's edge in this matchup stems from their home advantage and slightly superior recent performance metrics. Maintaining defensive discipline and capitalizing on scoring opportunities will be crucial for them to secure the predicted win. Fans should keep an eye on Cagliari's ability to break down Venezia's defense, as this could be the deciding factor in what promises to be a closely contested encounter.

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