Serie A 2024-2025: Como vs Empoli Prediction - 29 Mar 2025
Result | Under-Over 2.5
Como
Home Team
79%
VS
Empoli
Away Team
9%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5:
44%
Under 2.5:
56%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 65 | 27 | 38 | 64 |
| 2 | Napoli | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Atalanta | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 63 | 28 | 35 | 58 |
| 4 | Bologna | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 53 |
| 5 | Juventus | 29 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 52 |
| 6 | Lazio | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 51 |
| 7 | Roma | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 30 | 14 | 49 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 48 |
| 9 | Milan | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 47 |
| 10 | Udinese | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 40 |
| 11 | Torino | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 38 |
| 12 | Genoa | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 35 |
| 13 | Como | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 29 |
| 14 | Verona | 29 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 29 |
| 15 | Cagliari | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 | Lecce | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 48 | -27 | 25 |
| 17 | Parma | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 | Empoli | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 22 |
| 19 | Venezia | 29 | 3 | 11 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 20 |
| 20 | Monza | 29 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 15 |
Recent Trends
Como
- Last Match: vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 2 - 1)
- 5th Last Match: vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 0)
Empoli
- Last Match: vs Torino (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 5)
- 5th Last Match: vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 3)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Como
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.04
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.23
# Clean Sheets:
1
Empoli
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.31
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.50
# Clean Sheets:
0
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming clash between Como and Empoli is tipped in favor of the home side, Como, with a significant 79.0% probability of victory. Positioned 13th in the Serie A standings, Como aims to solidify their mid-table spot with a win against 18th placed Empoli, who are battling against relegation. The match is expected to feature under 2.5 goals, with a 44.0% probability of exceeding that mark.
Match Analysis
Como enters this fixture with a mixed bag of recent results, having lost their last two away games against Milan and Roma, both with a 1-2 scoreline. Their home draw against Venezia provided a brief respite, but overall, they've struggled to secure consistent victories. Despite these results, Como's offense has shown some promise, averaging 1.8 goals over their last five matches. Defensively, they've been slightly porous, conceding an average of 1.4 goals.
Empoli, on the other hand, finds themselves in a precarious position near the bottom of the table. Their recent form has been less than encouraging, with two consecutive losses to Torino and Roma, both ending 0-1, and a draw against Genoa. Empoli has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.6 goals in their last five games while conceding an average of 2.4 goals. Their lack of clean sheets further underscores their defensive vulnerabilities.
Final Prediction
Como appears to have the upper hand in this encounter, primarily due to their superior form and home advantage. Their ability to find the net more consistently than Empoli could prove decisive. A key factor to watch during this match is Como's offensive execution, which, if effective, could be the difference-maker against an Empoli side struggling to keep goals out.
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