Serie A 2024-2025: Lecce vs Como Prediction - 19 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Lecce

Home Team
19%
VS

Como

Away Team
64%
Draw: 17%
Over 2.5: 54%
Under 2.5: 46%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 32 21 8 3 72 31 41 71
2 Napoli 32 20 8 4 51 25 26 68
3 Atalanta 32 18 7 7 65 30 35 61
4 Juventus 32 15 14 3 49 30 19 59
5 Bologna 32 15 12 5 51 37 14 57
6 Lazio 32 16 8 8 53 43 10 56
7 Roma 32 15 9 8 47 32 15 54
8 Fiorentina 32 15 8 9 49 32 17 53
9 Milan 32 14 9 9 51 37 14 51
10 Torino 32 9 13 10 36 37 -1 40
11 Udinese 32 11 7 14 36 46 -10 40
12 Genoa 32 9 12 11 29 38 -9 39
13 Como 32 9 9 14 40 48 -8 36
14 Verona 32 9 5 18 30 59 -29 32
15 Cagliari 32 7 9 16 32 47 -15 30
16 Parma 32 5 13 14 37 51 -14 28
17 Lecce 32 6 8 18 23 52 -29 26
18 Venezia 32 4 12 16 25 44 -19 24
19 Empoli 32 4 12 16 24 50 -26 24
20 Monza 32 2 9 21 25 56 -31 15

Recent Trends

Lecce L D L L L

  • Last Match: L vs Juventus (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Milan (Goals: 2 - 3)

Como W W D L D

  • Last Match: W vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Monza (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Milan (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Venezia (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Lecce

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.94
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.69
# Clean Sheets: 0

Como

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.29
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.30
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Lecce and Como is heavily tipped in favor of the away team, with a 64.0% probability of a Como victory. Contrarily, the home team's chances stand at 19.0%, with a draw at 17.0%. Considering the league standings, Como is positioned 13th, while Lecce is struggling at 17th, just above the relegation zone. The game is also expected to have a high goal output, with a 54.0% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Match Analysis

Lecce has had a challenging run in their recent fixtures, failing to secure a win in their last three outings. Their latest matches include a narrow 2-1 defeat to Juventus, a 1-1 draw against Venezia, and a 1-0 loss at home to Roma. On average, Lecce has managed to score only 0.6 goals per game while conceding 1.2 across their last five matches, indicating a struggle both offensively and defensively. On the other hand, Como comes into this match with a more favorable recent performance. They secured a 1-0 victory against Torino, followed by a commanding 3-1 away win over Monza, and a 1-1 draw against Empoli. Como's ability to score, averaging 1.4 goals in their last five games, coupled with their defensive resilience, having kept a clean sheet in one of these matches, suggests a more balanced team performance.

Final Prediction

Como's recent form and standing in the league provide them with a clear edge over Lecce, who are battling to stay above the relegation zone. The key factor to watch during this game will be Como's attacking prowess against Lecce's fragile defense. Fans can look forward to an engaging match with a strong likelihood of seeing plenty of goals, aligning with the prediction of over 2.5 goals.

Get Daily Football Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven football predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel