Serie A 2024-2025: Parma vs Inter Prediction - 5 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Parma

Home Team
6%
VS

Inter

Away Team
89%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5: 56%
Under 2.5: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 30 20 7 3 67 28 39 67
2 Napoli 30 19 7 4 47 24 23 64
3 Atalanta 30 17 7 6 63 29 34 58
4 Bologna 30 15 11 4 50 34 16 56
5 Juventus 30 14 13 3 46 28 18 55
6 Roma 30 15 7 8 45 30 15 52
7 Lazio 30 15 7 8 51 42 9 52
8 Fiorentina 30 15 6 9 47 30 17 51
9 Milan 30 13 8 9 45 35 10 47
10 Udinese 30 11 7 12 36 41 -5 40
11 Torino 30 9 12 9 35 35 0 39
12 Genoa 30 8 11 11 28 38 -10 35
13 Como 30 7 9 14 36 47 -11 30
14 Verona 30 9 3 18 29 58 -29 30
15 Cagliari 30 7 8 15 31 44 -13 29
16 Parma 30 5 11 14 35 49 -14 26
17 Lecce 30 6 7 17 21 49 -28 25
18 Empoli 30 4 11 15 24 47 -23 23
19 Venezia 30 3 11 16 23 43 -20 20
20 Monza 30 2 9 19 24 52 -28 15

Recent Trends

Parma D D D L W

  • Last Match: D vs Verona (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Monza (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Torino (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Udinese (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Bologna (Goals: 2 - 0)

Inter W W W D W

  • Last Match: W vs Udinese (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Atalanta (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Monza (Goals: 3 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Parma

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.36
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.95
# Clean Sheets: 2

Inter

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.48
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.17
# Clean Sheets: 2

Key Prediction Insights

Inter is heavily favored to win their upcoming match against Parma, with an 89.0% probability of securing victory. In contrast, the likelihood of Parma winning is a mere 6.0%. The match is also predicted to see over 2.5 goals being scored, with a 56.0% probability. This match-up features the league leaders, Inter, who sit comfortably at the top of the Serie A standings, against Parma, who are battling near the bottom in 16th position.

Match Analysis

In their recent performances, Parma has been struggling to secure victories, recording three consecutive draws against Verona, Monza, and Torino. During these matches, Parma scored a total of three goals while conceding three, indicating their challenges in both offensive and defensive areas. Despite the lack of wins, Parma's defense has managed two clean sheets in their last five games, but their attack has been lackluster, averaging just 1.2 goals per match. Inter, on the other hand, has been in fine form, winning their last three games against Udinese, Atalanta, and Monza. They have scored seven goals and conceded just three in this period, showcasing their strong attacking capabilities. Inter's impressive run has been supported by their solid defensive performances, as evidenced by two clean sheets in their last five outings. The advanced metrics indicate that Inter has been consistent in creating scoring opportunities, which could be pivotal in breaking down Parma's defense.

Final Prediction

Inter's position at the top of the standings and their recent winning streak give them a significant edge over Parma. Their ability to both score and defend effectively makes them a formidable opponent. A key factor to watch during the game will be Inter's attacking prowess, which could dictate the flow of the match and potentially lead to a high-scoring affair. Parma will need to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Inter to have a chance at an upset.

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