Serie A 2024-2025: Venezia vs Napoli Prediction - 16 Mar 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Venezia

Home Team
5%
VS

Napoli

Away Team
90%
Draw: 5%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 28 18 7 3 63 27 36 61
2 Napoli 28 18 6 4 45 23 22 60
3 Atalanta 28 17 7 4 63 26 37 58
4 Juventus 28 13 13 2 45 25 20 52
5 Lazio 28 15 6 7 50 36 14 51
6 Bologna 28 13 11 4 44 34 10 50
7 Roma 28 13 7 8 43 30 13 46
8 Fiorentina 28 13 6 9 43 30 13 45
9 Milan 28 12 8 8 42 32 10 44
10 Udinese 28 11 7 10 35 38 -3 40
11 Torino 28 8 11 9 33 34 -1 35
12 Genoa 28 7 11 10 26 36 -10 32
13 Como 28 7 8 13 34 44 -10 29
14 Cagliari 28 6 8 14 28 43 -15 26
15 Verona 28 8 2 18 28 58 -30 26
16 Lecce 28 6 7 15 20 46 -26 25
17 Parma 28 5 9 14 34 48 -14 24
18 Empoli 28 4 10 14 23 45 -22 22
19 Venezia 28 3 10 15 23 42 -19 19
20 Monza 28 2 8 18 23 48 -25 14

Recent Trends

Venezia D D D L L

  • Last Match: D vs Como (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Genoa (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Roma (Goals: 0 - 1)

Napoli W D L D D

  • Last Match: W vs Fiorentina (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Inter (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Como (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Lazio (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Venezia

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.75
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.79
# Clean Sheets: 2

Napoli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.98
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 0.66
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Venezia and Napoli is heavily tipped in favor of Napoli, with a staggering 90.0% probability of an away win. Venezia, languishing in 19th place, faces a daunting task against 2nd placed Napoli. The game is expected to see fewer than 2.5 goals scored, with a 47.0% probability supporting this outcome.

Match Analysis

Venezia enters this match on the back of a series of three consecutive draws, demonstrating a commendable defensive resilience. They managed a goalless draw against both Atalanta and Lazio, showcasing their ability to hold off higher-ranked opponents. However, Venezia has struggled offensively, scoring only once in their last three games. Their average goals scored in the last five matches stand at a mere 0.4, and they have shown vulnerability at the back with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per game. Conversely, Napoli comes into this fixture with a mixed bag of results. They secured a crucial victory against Fiorentina and held Inter to a draw, but surprisingly fell to Como. Napoli's attacking prowess is evident, with an average of 2.0 goals scored in their last five outings. Although their defense has not been particularly airtight, conceding 1.4 goals on average, Napoli's offensive firepower, led by their ability to outperform their expected goals, remains a significant threat.

Final Prediction

Napoli's strong attacking form and superior league position provide them with a decisive edge over Venezia. The disparity in their recent performances and league standings underscores Napoli's dominance. A key factor to watch will be Napoli's ability to break through Venezia's defense, which has recently demonstrated a capacity to frustrate stronger teams.

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