Serie A 2024-2025: Verona vs Genoa Prediction - 13 Apr 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Verona

Home Team
30%
VS

Genoa

Away Team
47%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 45%
Under 2.5: 55%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 31 20 8 3 69 30 39 68
2 Napoli 31 19 8 4 48 25 23 65
3 Atalanta 31 17 7 7 63 30 33 58
4 Bologna 31 15 12 4 51 35 16 57
5 Juventus 31 14 14 3 47 29 18 56
6 Lazio 31 16 7 8 52 42 10 55
7 Roma 31 15 8 8 46 31 15 53
8 Fiorentina 31 15 7 9 49 32 17 52
9 Milan 31 13 9 9 47 37 10 48
10 Torino 31 9 13 9 36 36 0 40
11 Udinese 31 11 7 13 36 42 -6 40
12 Genoa 31 9 11 11 29 38 -9 38
13 Como 31 8 9 14 39 48 -9 33
14 Verona 31 9 4 18 30 59 -29 31
15 Cagliari 31 7 9 15 31 44 -13 30
16 Parma 31 5 12 14 37 51 -14 27
17 Lecce 31 6 8 17 22 50 -28 26
18 Empoli 31 4 12 15 24 47 -23 24
19 Venezia 31 3 12 16 24 44 -20 21
20 Monza 31 2 9 20 25 55 -30 15

Recent Trends

Verona D D W L L

  • Last Match: D vs Torino (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 2)

Genoa W L W D D

  • Last Match: W vs Udinese (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Juventus (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Cagliari (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Empoli (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Verona

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.16
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.44
# Clean Sheets: 2

Genoa

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.10
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.01
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Verona and Genoa in Serie A sees Genoa as the favored team with a 47.0% chance of victory, compared to Verona's 30.0% likelihood of winning. The probability of a draw is 24.0%. Meanwhile, the game is predicted to have under 2.5 goals, with a 45.0% probability of exceeding this mark. In the current standings, Genoa holds the 12th position with 38 points, whereas Verona is in 14th place with 31 points.

Match Analysis

In their last three outings, Verona has shown a slight uptick in form, securing a win against Udinese and two draws against Torino and Parma. These results indicate a defensive solidity with two clean sheets, although their attacking output remains low, averaging only 0.4 goals per game recently. Their expected goals (xG) suggest they should be scoring more, with an average of 1.156 xG per game, but converting these chances has been a challenge. Genoa, on the other hand, has had a mixed set of results with two wins against Udinese and Lecce and a narrow loss to Juventus. They have demonstrated a slightly better attacking prowess, averaging 0.6 goals per game, and maintaining a solid defense with an average of 1.2 goals conceded. Their advanced metrics show a well-balanced side, with 1.096 xG and 1.014 xGA, indicating they are performing close to expected levels on both ends of the pitch.

Final Prediction

Genoa's edge in this matchup lies in their more consistent performances and their ability to manage games effectively, as reflected in their recent results and league standing. A key factor to watch will be Genoa's ability to capitalize on their slightly superior goal-scoring opportunities, while Verona will aim to leverage their defensive improvements to secure a positive result.

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