Bundesliga 2025-2026: Augsburg vs Ein Frankfurt Prediction - 25 Apr 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5 | Corners | Shots | Spread

Augsburg

Home Team
38%
VS

Ein Frankfurt

Away Team
36%
Draw: 26%
Over 2.5: 67%
Under 2.5: 33%
Goal: 63%
No Goal: 37%
Expected Corners: 9.8
Expected Shots: 27.5
Expected Spread: +0.1

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 30 25 4 1 109 29 80 79
2 Dortmund 30 19 7 4 61 31 30 64
3 RB Leipzig 30 18 5 7 59 37 22 59
4 Stuttgart 30 17 5 8 62 42 20 56
5 Hoffenheim 30 16 6 8 59 44 15 54
6 Leverkusen 30 15 7 8 60 41 19 52
7 Freiburg 30 12 7 11 44 48 -4 43
8 Ein Frankfurt 30 11 9 10 55 57 -2 42
9 Augsburg 30 10 6 14 38 54 -16 36
10 Mainz 30 8 10 12 36 45 -9 34
11 Union Berlin 30 8 8 14 34 52 -18 32
12 FC Koln 30 7 10 13 44 51 -7 31
13 M'gladbach 30 7 10 13 36 50 -14 31
14 Hamburg 30 7 10 13 33 48 -15 31
15 Werder Bremen 30 8 7 15 35 53 -18 31
16 St Pauli 30 6 8 16 26 51 -25 26
17 Wolfsburg 30 6 6 18 41 66 -25 24
18 Heidenheim 30 4 7 19 33 66 -33 19

Recent Trends

Augsburg W D D L L

  • Last Match: W vs Leverkusen (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Hamburg (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 5)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Dortmund (Goals: 0 - 2)

Ein Frankfurt L W D L W

  • Last Match: L vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs FC Koln (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Augsburg

xG (avg) 1.96
xGA (avg) 1.88
Clean Sheets 0

Ein Frankfurt

xG (avg) 1.23
xGA (avg) 1.64
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

Augsburg are marginally favoured to edge this one, with a 38.0% chance of a home win against Eintracht Frankfurt’s 36.0% and a 26.0% probability of a draw. The model leans towards a high‑scoring encounter, with an over 2.5 prediction at 67.0%. In the current Bundesliga table, Frankfurt sit 8th on 42 points, with Augsburg just behind in 9th on 36 points, adding extra weight to this mid‑table clash.

Match Analysis

Augsburg arrive in decent form and full of resilience. A fine 2-1 away victory at Leverkusen was followed by back‑to‑back draws: 2-2 at home to Hoffenheim and 1-1 away to Hamburg. They’ve shown they can both hurt strong opponents and scrap for points, with 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded on average in their last five games. Their xG numbers (1.964 for, 1.876 against) suggest that their recent performances are no fluke, even if the lack of a clean sheet in those five outings underlines ongoing defensive vulnerability. Frankfurt, meanwhile, have been more inconsistent. A 2-1 win away at Wolfsburg was sandwiched between a 2-2 home draw with Köln and a 3-1 home defeat to RB Leipzig. Over the last five matches they’ve averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, with xG at 1.23 for and 1.644 against, hinting that they are allowing slightly better chances than they’re creating. One clean sheet in that spell points to a defence that can be solid in spells, but not reliably so – a concern against an Augsburg side that has found some attacking rhythm.

Under/Over 2.5 Goals Prediction

Recent Goals Trends

Total goals per match in the last 5 games. Green bars = Over 2.5, Red bars = Under 2.5

Augsburg
Goals in last 5 matches
Ein Frankfurt
Goals in last 5 matches
The over 2.5 prediction is strong here, at 67.0%. Two of Augsburg’s last three matches went over 2.5 goals (2-1 vs Leverkusen, 2-2 vs Hoffenheim), with only the 1-1 at Hamburg falling under 2.5. All three of Frankfurt’s recent fixtures hit at least three goals (1-3, 2-1, 2-2), and both teams’ averages and xG – Augsburg at 1.8 scored/1.6 conceded, Frankfurt at 1.2/1.4 – support the expectation of another open, attacking game rather than an under 2.5 grind.

Corners Prediction

Recent Corners Trends

Corners won (green) and conceded (orange) in the last 5 games. Expected corners shown as reference line.

Augsburg
Corners in last 5 matches
Ein Frankfurt
Corners in last 5 matches

Corners Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each corner count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of corners ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The corners prediction points to around 9.8 total corners, roughly in line with what both sides have produced lately. Augsburg’s last three saw corner totals of 15, 8 and 11, as they often concede territory but break forward to win set pieces. Frankfurt’s games delivered 10, 14 and 8 corners respectively, reflecting a team that attacks down the flanks and forces blocks. Given both sides’ willingness to push on and cross, predicted corners just under double figures looks realistic.

Shots Prediction

Recent Shots Trends

Shots taken (blue) and faced (red) in the last 5 games. Expected shots shown as reference line.

Augsburg
Shots in last 5 matches
Ein Frankfurt
Shots in last 5 matches

Shots Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each shot count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of shots ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The shots prediction is for 27.52 total efforts on goal, which matches recent trends. Augsburg’s last three matches produced combined shot counts of 46, 30 and 36, while Frankfurt’s delivered 35, 32 and 34. Both teams regularly trade chances rather than sitting deep, and with xG figures hovering around 2.0 for Augsburg and 1.23 for Frankfurt, the expected shots tally suggests a game where chances come at both ends.

Goal Spread Prediction

Goal Spread Probability Distribution

Positive = Augsburg wins by X goals. Negative = Ein Frankfurt wins by X goals.

Distribution
Probability of each goal difference outcome
Goal spread probability distribution for Augsburg vs Ein Frankfurt with expected spread of +0.1
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of goal difference ≤ X
Cumulative goal spread probability chart for Augsburg vs Ein Frankfurt
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The goal spread prediction is very narrow, with an expected spread of +0.11 in favour of Augsburg, essentially calling this a near coin‑flip with a slight home edge. Augsburg’s last three results give them a +1 goal difference (5 scored, 4 conceded), while Frankfurt sit at -1 over the same span (5 scored, 6 conceded). That marginal trend, combined with the 38.0% vs 36.0% win probabilities and Augsburg’s slightly stronger attacking metrics, explains the tiny tilt towards the hosts.

Final Prediction

Augsburg’s sharper attack and home advantage just about give them the edge in what looks like a very evenly balanced contest. Frankfurt’s ability to create and concede in equal measure should ensure an open game, but their recent xG against figure is a warning sign. The key factor to watch will be whether Augsburg’s forward line can exploit Frankfurt’s defensive lapses early, setting the tone for the high‑scoring battle the numbers are pointing to.

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