Bundesliga 2025-2026: Ein Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig Prediction - 18 Apr 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5 | Corners | Shots

Ein Frankfurt

Home Team
30%
VS

RB Leipzig

Away Team
45%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 64%
Under 2.5: 36%
Goal: 60%
No Goal: 40%
Expected Corners: 9.5
Expected Shots: 25.8

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 29 24 4 1 105 27 78 76
2 Dortmund 29 19 7 3 60 29 31 64
3 Stuttgart 29 17 5 7 60 38 22 56
4 RB Leipzig 29 17 5 7 56 36 20 56
5 Leverkusen 29 15 7 7 59 39 20 52
6 Hoffenheim 29 15 6 8 57 43 14 51
7 Ein Frankfurt 29 11 9 9 54 54 0 42
8 Freiburg 29 11 7 11 42 47 -5 40
9 Mainz 29 8 9 12 35 44 -9 33
10 Augsburg 29 9 6 14 36 53 -17 33
11 Union Berlin 29 8 8 13 33 50 -17 32
12 Hamburg 29 7 10 12 32 45 -13 31
13 FC Koln 29 7 9 13 43 50 -7 30
14 M'gladbach 29 7 9 13 35 49 -14 30
15 Werder Bremen 29 7 7 15 32 52 -20 28
16 St Pauli 29 6 7 16 25 50 -25 25
17 Wolfsburg 29 5 6 18 39 65 -26 21
18 Heidenheim 29 4 7 18 32 64 -32 19

Recent Trends

Ein Frankfurt W D L W D

  • Last Match: W vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs FC Koln (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs St Pauli (Goals: 0 - 0)

RB Leipzig W W W L W

  • Last Match: W vs M'gladbach (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 5 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Stuttgart (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Augsburg (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Ein Frankfurt

xG (avg) 1.58
xGA (avg) 1.29
Clean Sheets 2

RB Leipzig

xG (avg) 2.03
xGA (avg) 1.22
Clean Sheets 2

Key Prediction Insights

RB Leipzig are slight but clear favourites here, with a 45.0% chance of taking all three points away at seventh‑placed Eintracht Frankfurt, who have just a 30.0% probability of a home win (draw at 24.0%). With Leipzig sitting 4th and pushing hard for a Champions League spot, the model also leans strongly towards an open game: the over 2.5 goals prediction comes in at 64.0%.

Match Analysis

Frankfurt come into this still inconsistent but dangerous. Their last three outings – a 2-1 win at Wolfsburg, a 2-2 home draw with Köln and a 2-1 defeat in Mainz – underline how often their games are tight but eventful. They’ve scored in each of those matches and averaged 1.8 goals over their last five, but the zero goal difference over the season (54 scored, 54 conceded) perfectly captures a side that leaves the back door slightly ajar. Leipzig, by contrast, are in a strong rhythm with three wins on the spin: 1-0 at home to M’gladbach, 2-1 at Werder Bremen and a statement 5-0 against Hoffenheim. Their recent numbers suggest even more attacking potential than the raw 1.4 goals per game in the last five: an average of 2.028 expected goals created points to a team regularly carving out chances. Defensively, both sides sit around the 1.0 goal conceded mark in recent weeks (Frankfurt 1.0, Leipzig 1.0), while xG against is similar too (1.288 vs 1.22), but Leipzig’s higher attacking ceiling and superior league position give them the edge.

Under/Over 2.5 Goals Prediction

Recent Goals Trends

Total goals per match in the last 5 games. Green bars = Over 2.5, Red bars = Under 2.5

Ein Frankfurt
Goals in last 5 matches
RB Leipzig
Goals in last 5 matches
The model backs an over 2.5 prediction at 64.0%, and the recent scorelines support that. Two of Frankfurt’s last three matches went over 2.5 goals (2-1, 2-2, 1-2), and they have been averaging 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded in their last five, backed by 1.576 xG for and 1.288 xG against. Leipzig have been more mixed – two of their last three stayed under 2.5 (1-0, 2-1, 5-0) – but their strong xG figure of 2.028 suggests they’re regularly producing enough chances for higher‑scoring games. With both sides creating and conceding around one xG or more per match, goals feel more likely than not.

Corners Prediction

Recent Corners Trends

Corners won (green) and conceded (orange) in the last 5 games. Expected corners shown as reference line.

Ein Frankfurt
Corners in last 5 matches
RB Leipzig
Corners in last 5 matches

Corners Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each corner count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of corners ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The corners prediction points to around 9.49 total corners, which fits the recent patterns. Frankfurt’s last three have produced 14, 8 and 8 corners respectively, showing they can both win and concede plenty when games become stretched. Leipzig’s matches have varied – 15, 1 and 4 corners – but that 11-4 count against M’gladbach shows what happens when they sustain pressure. With both teams willing to attack and Leipzig often pushing high, the predicted corners figure around 9–10 looks realistic.

Shots Prediction

Recent Shots Trends

Shots taken (blue) and faced (red) in the last 5 games. Expected shots shown as reference line.

Ein Frankfurt
Shots in last 5 matches
RB Leipzig
Shots in last 5 matches

Shots Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each shot count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of shots ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The expected shots total is 25.76, again in line with how these sides have been playing. Frankfurt’s last three games saw combined shot counts of 32, 34 and 20, reflecting an open, end‑to‑end style. Leipzig have ranged from 21 shots total at Bremen to 30 against M’gladbach and 22 versus Hoffenheim. Given Leipzig’s strong attacking xG and Frankfurt’s willingness to trade chances, a shots prediction around 26 attempts overall feels well supported.

Final Prediction

Leipzig’s superior league position, recent three‑game winning run and stronger chance creation numbers give them a narrow but clear advantage over a lively yet fragile Frankfurt side. The key factor to watch will be how Frankfurt’s defence copes with Leipzig’s sustained attacking pressure; if the visitors hit anything close to their recent xG levels, Frankfurt will need clinical finishing of their own to keep pace.

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