Bundesliga 2025-2026: Hamburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Hamburg

Home Team
0%
VS

Bayern Munich

Away Team
100%
Draw: 0%
Over 2.5: 58%
Under 2.5: 42%
Goal: 56%
No Goal: 44%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 19 16 2 1 72 16 56 50
2 Dortmund 19 12 6 1 38 17 21 42
3 Hoffenheim 18 11 3 4 38 22 16 36
4 Stuttgart 19 11 3 5 36 26 10 36
5 RB Leipzig 18 11 2 5 36 24 12 35
6 Leverkusen 18 10 2 6 35 25 10 32
7 Freiburg 19 7 6 6 31 32 -1 27
8 Ein Frankfurt 19 7 6 6 39 42 -3 27
9 Union Berlin 19 6 6 7 24 30 -6 24
10 FC Koln 19 5 5 9 28 32 -4 20
11 M'gladbach 19 5 5 9 23 32 -9 20
12 Wolfsburg 19 5 4 10 28 41 -13 19
13 Augsburg 19 5 4 10 22 36 -14 19
14 Hamburg 18 4 6 8 17 27 -10 18
15 Werder Bremen 18 4 6 8 21 35 -14 18
16 Mainz 19 3 6 10 21 32 -11 15
17 St Pauli 18 3 4 11 16 31 -15 13
18 Heidenheim 19 3 4 12 17 42 -25 13

Recent Trends

Hamburg ⚪ ⚪ ❌ ⚪ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs St Pauli (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ⚪ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Freiburg (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 4)

Bayern Munich ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Augsburg (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 5 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs FC Koln (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 8 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 4 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Hamburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.11
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.08
# Clean Sheets: 2

Bayern Munich

Average Expected Goals (xG): 3.11
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.37
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Hamburg and Bayern Munich is projected to be a one-sided affair, with Bayern Munich holding a 100% probability of victory. With a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goals, this match promises to be an action-packed encounter. In the Bundesliga standings, Bayern Munich sits comfortably at the top, showcasing their dominance, while Hamburg is languishing in 14th position, battling to steer clear of the relegation zone.

Match Analysis

Hamburg has been struggling to find their footing in recent games, managing two goalless draws against St Pauli and M'gladbach, followed by a narrow defeat to Freiburg. Their inability to find the back of the net consistently is reflected in their modest average of 1.4 goals scored over the last five matches. However, their defense has shown some resilience, with two clean sheets in the same period. Nonetheless, their expected goals both scored and conceded indicate a team that is not creating enough chances nor suffocating opponents effectively. In contrast, Bayern Munich is in formidable form, despite a rare loss against Augsburg. They bounced back emphatically with commanding victories over RB Leipzig and FC Koln. Bayern's attacking prowess is evident in their average of 3.8 goals per game in recent outings. Additionally, their expected goals metrics are significantly higher, highlighting their ability to generate and capitalize on scoring opportunities. Defensively, Bayern has also been robust, conceding less than a goal per game on average.

Final Prediction

Bayern Munich's superior firepower and solid defensive record give them a substantial edge over Hamburg. The Bavarian giants' ability to create numerous scoring chances and maintain defensive discipline makes them formidable opponents. A key factor to watch during the game will be Bayern's attacking cohesion, which could spell trouble for Hamburg's defenses. Football fans can expect a vibrant display from the league leaders, who are likely to continue their march at the top of the Bundesliga.