Bundesliga 2025-2026: Hamburg vs Werder Bremen Prediction - 7 Dec 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Hamburg

Home Team
58%
VS

Werder Bremen

Away Team
21%
Draw: 21%
Over 2.5: 49%
Under 2.5: 51%
Goal: 54%
No Goal: 46%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 12 11 1 0 44 9 35 34
2 RB Leipzig 12 8 2 2 22 13 9 26
3 Dortmund 12 7 4 1 21 11 10 25
4 Leverkusen 12 7 2 3 28 17 11 23
5 Hoffenheim 12 7 2 3 25 17 8 23
6 Stuttgart 12 7 1 4 21 17 4 22
7 Ein Frankfurt 12 6 3 3 28 23 5 21
8 Freiburg 12 4 4 4 19 20 -1 16
9 Werder Bremen 12 4 4 4 16 21 -5 16
10 FC Koln 12 4 3 5 21 20 1 15
11 Union Berlin 12 4 3 5 15 19 -4 15
12 M'gladbach 12 3 4 5 16 19 -3 13
13 Hamburg 12 3 3 6 11 18 -7 12
14 Augsburg 12 3 1 8 15 27 -12 10
15 Wolfsburg 12 2 3 7 14 22 -8 9
16 Heidenheim 12 2 2 8 10 27 -17 8
17 St Pauli 12 2 1 9 10 24 -14 7
18 Mainz 12 1 3 8 11 23 -12 6

Recent Trends

Hamburg W L D L L

  • Last Match: W vs Stuttgart (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Augsburg (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Dortmund (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 0 - 1)

Werder Bremen D L W D W

  • Last Match: D vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs RB Leipzig (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Union Berlin (Goals: 1 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Hamburg

xG (avg) 1.80
xGA (avg) 1.29
Clean Sheets 0

Werder Bremen

xG (avg) 1.21
xGA (avg) 2.66
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

Hamburg is tipped to win their upcoming match against Werder Bremen with a probability of 58.0%. The game is expected to be low-scoring, with a predicted outcome of under 2.5 goals and a 49.0% probability for this result. Currently, Hamburg sits at 13th position in the Bundesliga standings, while Werder Bremen is slightly ahead in 9th place.

Match Analysis

In their recent performances, Hamburg has shown resilience, securing a win against Stuttgart at home and holding Dortmund to a draw, also at home. However, an away loss to Augsburg exposed some vulnerabilities. On average, Hamburg has been more prolific on the attack, scoring 1.8 goals per game in their last five matches, while maintaining a solid defense by conceding just 0.8 goals on average. Their expected goals metrics suggest that they have been creating quality chances but have struggled to keep clean sheets. Werder Bremen, on the other hand, managed a home victory against Wolfsburg but experienced a setback against RB Leipzig away. With a draw against FC Koln, their recent form has been mixed. Despite scoring an average of 1.4 goals in their last five outings, their defense has been leaky, conceding 1.8 goals per game. Their expected goals suggest that they are not creating as many opportunities as they might need to secure wins, and defensively, they have been porous with only one clean sheet in recent matches.

Final Prediction

Hamburg's edge over Werder Bremen in this fixture stems from their recent strong performances at home and their slightly better goal-scoring form. Watch for Hamburg's ability to capitalize on their home advantage and Werder Bremen’s defensive vulnerabilities, which could prove decisive in this encounter.

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