Bundesliga 2025-2026: Heidenheim vs RB Leipzig Prediction - 24 Jan 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Heidenheim

Home Team
14%
VS

RB Leipzig

Away Team
74%
Draw: 12%
Over 2.5: 61%
Under 2.5: 39%
Goal: 59%
No Goal: 41%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 18 16 2 0 71 14 57 50
2 Dortmund 18 11 6 1 35 17 18 39
3 Hoffenheim 17 10 3 4 35 21 14 33
4 Stuttgart 18 10 3 5 33 26 7 33
5 RB Leipzig 17 10 2 5 33 24 9 32
6 Leverkusen 17 9 2 6 34 25 9 29
7 Ein Frankfurt 18 7 6 5 38 39 -1 27
8 Freiburg 18 6 6 6 29 31 -2 24
9 Union Berlin 18 6 6 6 24 27 -3 24
10 FC Koln 18 5 5 8 27 30 -3 20
11 M'gladbach 18 5 5 8 23 29 -6 20
12 Wolfsburg 18 5 4 9 27 38 -11 19
13 Werder Bremen 17 4 6 7 21 34 -13 18
14 Hamburg 17 4 5 8 17 27 -10 17
15 Augsburg 18 4 4 10 20 35 -15 16
16 Heidenheim 18 3 4 11 17 39 -22 13
17 Mainz 18 2 6 10 18 31 -13 12
18 St Pauli 17 3 3 11 16 31 -15 12

Recent Trends

Heidenheim D L D L L

  • Last Match: D vs Wolfsburg (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs FC Koln (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 0 - 4)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs St Pauli (Goals: 1 - 2)

RB Leipzig L W L L W

  • Last Match: L vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 5)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Freiburg (Goals: 2 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Leverkusen (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Union Berlin (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 6 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Heidenheim

xG (avg) 1.50
xGA (avg) 2.19
Clean Sheets 0

RB Leipzig

xG (avg) 1.40
xGA (avg) 1.02
Clean Sheets 2

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and RB Leipzig heavily favors the away team, with a 74.0% probability of a Leipzig victory. The game is expected to feature over 2.5 goals, with a 61.0% likelihood of such an outcome. Positioned at 16th in the league, Heidenheim faces a formidable opponent in 5th-placed RB Leipzig, who are eager to climb into the Champions League spots.

Match Analysis

In recent fixtures, Heidenheim has struggled to secure wins, with two draws and a loss in their last three outings. Their recent performances include a 1-1 draw against Wolfsburg and a 2-2 home draw against FC Koln. These results highlight Heidenheim's defensive vulnerabilities, as they have conceded an average of 2.2 goals per game in their last five matches and failed to achieve a clean sheet. Conversely, RB Leipzig has shown mixed results with a win sandwiched between two losses, including a heavy defeat to Bayern Munich. Despite these setbacks, Leipzig managed a convincing 2-0 win over Freiburg, showcasing their potential to perform against lower-ranked teams. Their defensive metrics are notably stronger than Heidenheim's, with an average of 1.4 goals conceded over the last five games and two clean sheets during this period.

Final Prediction

RB Leipzig is poised to seize the advantage, leveraging their superior league position and recent performances. A key factor to monitor will be Leipzig's ability to exploit Heidenheim's defensive frailties, which have been evident in recent matches. Fans should keep an eye on Leipzig's attacking prowess, which could be pivotal in securing a decisive victory.

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