Bundesliga 2025-2026: Mainz vs Leverkusen Prediction - 18 Oct 2025

Mainz's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with their last three games yielding one win and two losses. Notably, they secured a 4-1 victory against Augsburg, but faced heavy defeats to Hamburg and Dortmund, conceding six goals without reply. Their advanced metrics indicate a struggle, with an average of 0.0 goals scored in the last five games and a worrying 1.333 goals conceded per game. Mainz's inability to keep a clean sheet in recent matches further highlights their defensive vulnerabilities. In contrast, Leverkusen is riding a wave of positive form, having won two and drawn one of their last three matches. Victories against Union Berlin and St Pauli, coupled with a draw against M'gladbach, show their offensive and defensive capabilities. Leverkusen has been prolific in front of goal, with an average of 2.5 goals scored in their last five outings. Despite conceding an average of 2.0 goals, their expected goals metrics suggest a solid attacking threat, averaging 1.665 goals per game, which could be decisive against a struggling Mainz defense.