Bundesliga 2025-2026: Wolfsburg vs Ein Frankfurt Prediction - 11 Apr 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5 | Corners | Shots

Wolfsburg

Home Team
39%
VS

Ein Frankfurt

Away Team
37%
Draw: 24%
Over 2.5: 64%
Under 2.5: 36%
Goal: 63%
No Goal: 37%
Expected Corners: 9.9
Expected Shots: 26.4

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 28 23 4 1 100 27 73 73
2 Dortmund 28 19 7 2 60 28 32 64
3 RB Leipzig 28 16 5 7 55 36 19 53
4 Stuttgart 28 16 5 7 56 38 18 53
5 Hoffenheim 28 15 5 8 55 41 14 50
6 Leverkusen 28 14 7 7 58 39 19 49
7 Ein Frankfurt 28 10 9 9 52 53 -1 39
8 Freiburg 28 10 7 11 41 47 -6 37
9 Mainz 28 8 9 11 35 43 -8 33
10 Union Berlin 28 8 8 12 32 47 -15 32
11 Augsburg 28 9 5 14 34 51 -17 32
12 Hamburg 28 7 10 11 32 41 -9 31
13 M'gladbach 28 7 9 12 35 48 -13 30
14 Werder Bremen 28 7 7 14 31 49 -18 28
15 FC Koln 28 6 9 13 40 49 -9 27
16 St Pauli 28 6 7 15 25 45 -20 25
17 Wolfsburg 28 5 6 17 38 63 -25 21
18 Heidenheim 28 3 7 18 29 63 -34 16

Recent Trends

Wolfsburg L L D L L

  • Last Match: L vs Leverkusen (Goals: 3 - 6)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Werder Bremen (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Hoffenheim (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Hamburg (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Stuttgart (Goals: 0 - 4)

Ein Frankfurt D L W D W

  • Last Match: D vs FC Koln (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Mainz (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Heidenheim (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs St Pauli (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Freiburg (Goals: 2 - 0)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Wolfsburg

xG (avg) 1.76
xGA (avg) 1.29
Clean Sheets 0

Ein Frankfurt

xG (avg) 1.19
xGA (avg) 1.61
Clean Sheets 3

Key Prediction Insights

Wolfsburg are narrowly favoured at home with a 39.0% chance of victory, just edging Eintracht Frankfurt’s 37.0%, so the model leans towards a Wolfsburg win despite their lowly 17th place against Frankfurt’s 7th. The draw sits at 24.0%, underlining how finely balanced this looks. Goals are expected: the over 2.5 prediction comes in strong at 64.0%, with both sides’ recent form pointing to an open contest.

Match Analysis

Wolfsburg come into this under real relegation pressure, stuck in 17th with only 21 points and just five wins from 28. Their last three games show a mix of vulnerability and fight: a chaotic 3-6 defeat at Leverkusen, a narrow 0-1 home loss to Werder Bremen, and a battling 1-1 draw away at Hoffenheim. The scorelines suggest instability at the back, but the underlying numbers are interesting: across the last five matches they’ve averaged only 1.0 goal scored and 1.8 conceded, yet their expected goals sit at 1.764 for and 1.294 against, indicating they are creating more than they are finishing and conceding more than they should. Frankfurt, comfortable in 7th on 39 points, have been inconsistent rather than poor. In their last three, they beat bottom side Heidenheim 1-0 at home, lost 1-2 away to Mainz, and drew 2-2 with Köln in a lively home game. They’ve averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded over their last five, with xG of 1.194 for and 1.612 against, painting a picture of a side slightly overachieving in attack but giving up decent chances the other way. Interestingly, they’ve still managed three clean sheets in their last five, suggesting that when their defensive shape holds, it holds well.

Under/Over 2.5 Goals Prediction

Recent Goals Trends

Total goals per match in the last 5 games. Green bars = Over 2.5, Red bars = Under 2.5

Wolfsburg
Goals in last 5 matches
Ein Frankfurt
Goals in last 5 matches
The over 2.5 prediction is backed at 64.0%, and the recent goal patterns support that call. Two of Wolfsburg’s last three matches went over 2.5 goals (the 3-6 at Leverkusen and the 0-1 and 1-1 staying under), while one of Frankfurt’s last three cleared the line (2-2 vs Köln), with the 1-0 and 1-2 staying under. With Wolfsburg averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded, and Frankfurt at 1.4 scored and 1.8 conceded, plus xG numbers showing both teams regularly generating and allowing chances, over 2.5 looks the likelier outcome.

Corners Prediction

Recent Corners Trends

Corners won (green) and conceded (orange) in the last 5 games. Expected corners shown as reference line.

Wolfsburg
Corners in last 5 matches
Ein Frankfurt
Corners in last 5 matches

Corners Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each corner count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of corners ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The corners prediction points to around 9.91 total corners, roughly in line with an open but not frantic game. Wolfsburg’s last three have been corner-heavy overall: 2-12 at Leverkusen, 8-4 against Bremen and 4-16 at Hoffenheim – they both concede and win plenty when pinned back, reflecting a team often defending deep and relying on breaks. Frankfurt’s recent matches have been more balanced in this area (8-0 vs Köln, 3-5 at Mainz, 5-4 vs Heidenheim), suggesting steady territorial pressure; combined, the predicted corners figure looks well supported.

Shots Prediction

Recent Shots Trends

Shots taken (blue) and faced (red) in the last 5 games. Expected shots shown as reference line.

Wolfsburg
Shots in last 5 matches
Ein Frankfurt
Shots in last 5 matches

Shots Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each shot count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of shots ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The expected shots total is 26.36, which matches what both sides have been involved in lately. Wolfsburg’s last three outings produced shot counts of 11-25, 11-8 and 4-21, regularly putting them in games with 19 to 36 attempts overall. Frankfurt have seen 20-14, 12-8 and 12-3 in their last three, consistently generating chances themselves. That shots prediction ties neatly to the xG: both teams tend to allow opponents to shoot, and both create enough to suggest a busy evening for both goalkeepers.

Final Prediction

Wolfsburg’s slim statistical edge at home, combined with stronger recent xG than actual goals, hints that a correction could be coming at a crucial moment in their survival fight. Frankfurt’s higher league position and cleaner defensive record in several recent games mean they remain a real threat, but their xG against makes them vulnerable. The key factor to watch will be how Wolfsburg’s attack converts its chances against a Frankfurt side that often allows good opportunities but can still produce clean sheets when it clicks.

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