Bundesliga 2025-2026: Wolfsburg vs St Pauli Prediction

Wolfsburg

Home Team
62%
VS

St Pauli

Away Team
18%
Draw: 19%
Over 2.5: 52%
Under 2.5: 48%
Goal: 52%
No Goal: 48%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 16 14 2 0 63 12 51 44
2 Dortmund 16 9 6 1 29 15 14 33
3 RB Leipzig 15 9 2 4 30 19 11 29
4 Leverkusen 16 9 2 5 34 24 10 29
5 Stuttgart 16 9 2 5 29 23 6 29
6 Hoffenheim 15 8 3 4 29 20 9 27
7 Ein Frankfurt 16 7 5 4 33 33 0 26
8 Freiburg 16 6 5 5 27 27 0 23
9 Union Berlin 16 6 4 6 22 25 -3 22
10 M'gladbach 16 5 4 7 22 24 -2 19
11 FC Koln 16 4 5 7 24 26 -2 17
12 Werder Bremen 15 4 5 6 18 28 -10 17
13 Hamburg 16 4 4 8 17 27 -10 16
14 Wolfsburg 16 4 3 9 24 36 -12 15
15 Augsburg 16 4 2 10 17 32 -15 14
16 St Pauli 15 3 3 9 13 26 -13 12
17 Heidenheim 16 3 3 10 15 36 -21 12
18 Mainz 16 1 6 9 15 28 -13 9

Recent Trends

Wolfsburg ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 8)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Freiburg (Goals: 3 - 4)
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs M'gladbach (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 3 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Ein Frankfurt (Goals: 1 - 1)

St Pauli ⚪ ✅ ⚪ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ⚪ vs Mainz (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Heidenheim (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs FC Koln (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Bayern Munich (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Union Berlin (Goals: 0 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Wolfsburg

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.22
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.08
# Clean Sheets: 0

St Pauli

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.45
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.08
# Clean Sheets: 1

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming clash between Wolfsburg and St Pauli is predicted to end in a victory for the home team, Wolfsburg, with a probability of 62.0%. The match is also expected to be a high-scoring affair with a 52.0% probability of over 2.5 goals. Wolfsburg currently sits at 14th position in the Bundesliga standings, whereas St Pauli is at 16th.

Match Analysis

Wolfsburg has had a mixed bag of performances in their last three outings. They suffered a heavy defeat to Bayern Munich with a scoreline of 8-1, which highlighted their defensive vulnerabilities. However, they bounced back with a 3-1 away victory against M'gladbach, showing their potential in attack. Their recent home loss to Freiburg, conceding 4 goals, suggests a need for improvement in their defensive organization. Advanced metrics indicate Wolfsburg averages 1.8 goals per game but also concedes an average of 2.8 goals, making their matches generally high-scoring. St Pauli, on the other hand, has struggled to find the back of the net consistently, averaging only 0.6 goals per game over their last five matches. They managed a narrow win at home against Heidenheim and secured draws against Mainz and FC Koln. Despite their low scoring rate, St Pauli's defense has been relatively sturdy, conceding only 1.6 goals on average. However, their expected goals conceded metric, sitting at 2.082, suggests that their defense might have been fortunate in recent games.

Final Prediction

Wolfsburg's attacking firepower provides them with an edge in this encounter, especially against a St Pauli side that has struggled to score. The home advantage and their ability to score multiple goals in recent matches make Wolfsburg the favorites. A key factor to watch will be Wolfsburg's ability to tighten their defense while capitalizing on scoring opportunities to secure all three points.