La Liga 2025-2026: Ath Bilbao vs Oviedo Prediction - 9 Nov 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Ath Bilbao

Home Team
89%
VS

Oviedo

Away Team
4%
Draw: 6%
Over 2.5: 48%
Under 2.5: 52%
Goal: 47%
No Goal: 53%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 11 10 0 1 26 10 16 30
2 Barcelona 11 8 1 2 28 13 15 25
3 Villarreal 11 7 2 2 22 10 12 23
4 Ath Madrid 11 6 4 1 21 10 11 22
5 Betis 11 5 4 2 18 12 6 19
6 Espanol 11 5 3 3 15 13 2 18
7 Getafe 11 5 2 4 12 13 -1 17
8 Alaves 11 4 3 4 11 10 1 15
9 Elche 11 3 5 3 12 13 -1 14
10 Vallecano 11 4 2 5 12 14 -2 14
11 Betis 11 4 2 5 11 13 -2 14
12 Celta 11 2 7 2 13 14 -1 13
13 Sevilla 11 4 1 6 17 19 -2 13
14 Sociedad 11 3 3 5 13 16 -3 12
15 Osasuna 11 3 2 6 9 12 -3 11
16 Levante 11 2 3 6 15 20 -5 9
17 Mallorca 11 2 3 6 11 18 -7 9
18 Valencia 11 2 3 6 10 20 -10 9
19 Oviedo 11 2 2 7 7 19 -12 8
20 Girona 11 1 4 6 10 24 -14 7

Recent Trends

Ath Bilbao L L D W L

  • Last Match: L vs Sociedad (Goals: 2 - 3)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Elche (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Mallorca (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Villarreal (Goals: 0 - 1)

Oviedo D D L L W

  • Last Match: D vs Osasuna (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Girona (Goals: 3 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: L vs Levante (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Valencia (Goals: 2 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Ath Bilbao

xG (avg) 1.34
xGA (avg) 0.53
Clean Sheets 1

Oviedo

xG (avg) 1.11
xGA (avg) 1.82
Clean Sheets 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming clash between Ath Bilbao and Oviedo, Ath Bilbao is the clear favorite with an 89.0% probability of winning. The game is expected to produce fewer than 2.5 goals, with a 48.0% chance for over 2.5 goals, and a 47.0% probability that the match might see no goals from either side. Currently, Oviedo is struggling near the bottom of the La Liga standings in 19th position, while Ath Bilbao's standing is not provided but the prediction favors them.

Match Analysis

Ath Bilbao's recent performances have been less than stellar, as they are coming off a tough streak with two losses and a draw in their last three matches. A 3-2 defeat against Sociedad, a narrow 1-0 loss to Getafe, and a goalless draw with Elche highlight their recent form. Despite these setbacks, their defensive metrics are strong, with an average of only 0.8 goals conceded per match over the last five games and a solid expected goals conceded rate of 0.53. On the other hand, Oviedo has also struggled lately, with two draws and a loss in their recent fixtures. They managed a 0-0 draw against Osasuna and a high-scoring 3-3 draw with Girona but were defeated 2-0 by Espanol. Defensively, Oviedo has been shaky, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last five matches, which could be a significant concern against a team like Ath Bilbao. Their offensive output, however, averages at 1.0 goals per match, which suggests some potential to challenge Bilbao's defense.

Final Prediction

Ath Bilbao has a definitive edge in this matchup, primarily due to Oviedo's defensive frailties and Bilbao's superior defensive metrics. While Bilbao has not been prolific in front of goal recently, their ability to limit opponents' scoring opportunities gives them a significant advantage. A key factor to watch will be whether Ath Bilbao can capitalize on Oviedo's defensive vulnerabilities to secure a much-needed win.

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