La Liga 2025-2026: Betis vs Espanol Prediction - 4 Apr 2026

Result | Under-Over 2.5 | Corners | Shots

Betis

Home Team
54%
VS

Espanol

Away Team
23%
Draw: 22%
Over 2.5: 47%
Under 2.5: 53%
Goal: 53%
No Goal: 47%
Expected Corners: 9.5
Expected Shots: 26.8

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Barcelona 29 24 1 4 78 28 50 73
2 Real Madrid 29 22 3 4 63 26 37 69
3 Villarreal 29 18 4 7 54 34 20 58
4 Ath Madrid 29 17 6 6 49 28 21 57
5 Betis 29 11 11 7 44 37 7 44
6 Celta 29 10 11 8 41 35 6 41
7 Sociedad 29 10 8 11 44 45 -1 38
8 Getafe 29 11 5 13 25 31 -6 38
9 Betis 29 11 5 13 32 41 -9 38
10 Osasuna 29 10 7 12 34 35 -1 37
11 Espanol 29 10 7 12 36 44 -8 37
12 Valencia 29 9 8 12 32 42 -10 35
13 Girona 29 8 10 11 31 44 -13 34
14 Vallecano 29 7 11 11 28 35 -7 32
15 Sevilla 29 8 7 14 37 49 -12 31
16 Alaves 29 8 7 14 30 41 -11 31
17 Elche 29 6 11 12 38 46 -8 29
18 Mallorca 29 7 7 15 34 47 -13 28
19 Levante 29 6 8 15 34 48 -14 26
20 Oviedo 29 4 9 16 20 48 -28 21

Recent Trends

Betis L D L D D

  • Last Match: L vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: D vs Celta (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Getafe (Goals: 0 - 2)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: D vs Vallecano (Goals: 1 - 1)

Espanol L L D D L

  • Last Match: L vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Mallorca (Goals: 1 - 2)
  • 3rd Last Match: D vs Oviedo (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Elche (Goals: 2 - 2)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Ath Madrid (Goals: 2 - 4)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Betis

xG (avg) 1.80
xGA (avg) 1.14
Clean Sheets 0

Espanol

xG (avg) 1.14
xGA (avg) 2.31
Clean Sheets 0

Key Prediction Insights

Betis are favoured to take all three points at home, with a 54.0% probability of a home win against just 23.0% for Espanol and a 22.0% chance of a draw. The model leans towards a tight game, with an under 2.5 goals prediction at 47.0% and only a marginal 53.0% chance that both teams score at all. In the table, Betis sit in 5th on 44 points, pushing for the Champions League spots, while 11th‑placed Espanol are a point back on 37, still looking upwards but with less room for error.

Match Analysis

Both sides come into this one in stuttering form. Betis have taken just one point from their last three league matches (D1 L2), losing 1-2 at Athletic Bilbao and 0-2 at Getafe, either side of a 1-1 home draw with Celta. The pattern is of a team that plays, creates and shoots – 19 efforts against Celta and 14 at Getafe – but has not been clinical and has failed to keep a single clean sheet in its last five outings. Espanol are on an even rougher run, with back‑to‑back 1-2 defeats to Getafe and Mallorca and a 1-1 home draw with Oviedo. The results underline their main problem: defensive fragility. Over the last five games they have conceded an average of 3.0 goals per match, backed up by a hefty 2.314 expected goals against, and also have no clean sheets in that stretch. Betis, by contrast, look more balanced in the underlying numbers: 1.804 xG created and 1.136 xG conceded on average in their last five, suggesting a side that generally controls games better at both ends despite recent scorelines.

Under/Over 2.5 Goals Prediction

Recent Goals Trends

Total goals per match in the last 5 games. Green bars = Over 2.5, Red bars = Under 2.5

Betis
Goals in last 5 matches
Espanol
Goals in last 5 matches
The model points slightly towards an under 2.5 prediction, with the under 2.5 outcome rated more likely than a high‑scoring match, even if the edge is slim. Two of Betis’s last three league games finished under 2.5 goals (1-1 vs Celta, 0-2 vs Getafe), while two of Espanol’s last three went over 2.5 (both 1-2 defeats), showing mixed recent patterns. The averages back a cagey contest: both teams are scoring 1.6 per game in their last five, but Betis concede only 1.0 on average with 1.136 xG against, which hints at a home side capable of keeping things relatively tight despite Espanol’s leaky back line.

Corners Prediction

Recent Corners Trends

Corners won (green) and conceded (orange) in the last 5 games. Expected corners shown as reference line.

Betis
Corners in last 5 matches
Espanol
Corners in last 5 matches

Corners Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each corner count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of corners ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The corners prediction sits at an expected total of 9.5, which fits with recent numbers from both teams. Betis matches have produced 11, 7 and 11 corners respectively in their last three (vs Athletic, Celta and Getafe), while Espanol’s games have seen 21, 11 and 8 corners, driven by their volume of crossing and chasing deficits. Both sides tend to attack down the flanks and shoot frequently, so the predicted corners figure around the 9–10 mark looks realistic for two teams who generate pressure without always turning it into goals.

Shots Prediction

Recent Shots Trends

Shots taken (blue) and faced (red) in the last 5 games. Expected shots shown as reference line.

Betis
Shots in last 5 matches
Espanol
Shots in last 5 matches

Shots Probability Distribution

Distribution
Probability of each shot count outcome
Cumulative Probability (CDF)
Probability of shots ≤ X
New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves
The expected shots total is 26.76, in line with how these sides have been playing. Betis’s last three have seen combined shot counts of 22, 26 and 23, while Espanol’s have produced 25, 36 and 34 efforts, with Espanol often allowing opponents to rack up chances. This shots prediction also matches the xG story: Betis regularly create solid chances (1.804 xG recently), while Espanol concede plenty (2.314 xG against), suggesting a match where Betis should generate the clearer openings.

Final Prediction

Betis’ superior underlying numbers, home advantage and more solid defensive profile give them the edge for a narrow but important win. Espanol’s attacking threat is real, yet their average of 3.0 goals conceded recently could again be their downfall. Watch the midfield battle: if Betis impose control and keep Espanol away from their box, the probabilities strongly tilt towards the home side claiming a low‑scoring victory.

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