La Liga 2025-2026: Elche vs Barcelona Prediction
Elche
Home Team
1%
VS
Barcelona
Away Team
98%
Draw: 1%
Over 2.5:
65%
Under 2.5:
35%
Goal:
62%
No Goal:
38%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 57 | 22 | 35 | 52 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 17 | 28 | 51 |
| 3 | Ath Madrid | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 44 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 20 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 41 |
| 5 | Espanol | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 34 |
| 6 | Betis | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 32 |
| 7 | Celta | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 32 |
| 8 | Sociedad | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 25 |
| 10 | Girona | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 25 |
| 11 | Elche | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 24 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | Betis | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 24 |
| 14 | Valencia | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Alaves | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 22 |
| 16 | Vallecano | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Getafe | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 22 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Levante | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 13 |
Recent Trends
Elche
- Last Match: vs Levante (Goals: 2 - 3)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sevilla (Goals: 2 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Valencia (Goals: 1 - 1)
- 4th Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 1 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Vallecano (Goals: 4 - 0)
Barcelona
- Last Match: vs Oviedo (Goals: 3 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Espanol (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 4th Last Match: vs Villarreal (Goals: 2 - 0)
- 5th Last Match: vs Osasuna (Goals: 2 - 0)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Elche
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.97
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
2.19
# Clean Sheets:
1
Barcelona
Average Expected Goals (xG):
3.37
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.75
# Clean Sheets:
4
Key Prediction Insights
The upcoming match between Elche and Barcelona is heavily skewed in favor of the away team, with a 98% probability of Barcelona securing a victory. The prediction also indicates a high likelihood of the game seeing over 2.5 goals scored, with a 65% probability. As it stands, Barcelona leads La Liga, while Elche is positioned at 11th on the league table.
Match Analysis
Elche's recent form has been middling, with their last three games resulting in a loss to Levante, and draws against Sevilla and Valencia. Despite these mixed results, they have managed to score consistently, averaging 2.4 goals per game in their last five matches. However, their defense remains a concern, having conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game during the same period. Their expected goals conceded metric further highlights their defensive vulnerabilities.
Conversely, Barcelona has maintained a strong performance in their recent fixtures, winning two out of their last three matches, including a clean victory against Oviedo. Their sole recent defeat came against Sociedad, which was an away fixture. Barcelona's attacking prowess is evident from their average of 2.8 goals scored per game over the last five matches, supported by a high expected goals metric. Defensively, they have been robust, achieving four clean sheets in their last five outings.
Final Prediction
Barcelona's dominance in both attack and defense gives them a significant edge in this fixture against Elche. With their impressive goal-scoring capabilities and a solid defensive record, they are well-positioned to secure a win. A key factor to watch during the game will be Barcelona's ability to capitalize on Elche's defensive weaknesses and maintain their lead in La Liga.