La Liga 2025-2026: Elche vs Real Madrid Prediction - 23 Nov 2025

Result | Under-Over 2.5

Elche

Home Team
2%
VS

Real Madrid

Away Team
94%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 51%
Under 2.5: 49%
Goal: 58%
No Goal: 42%

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Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Real Madrid 12 10 1 1 26 10 16 31
2 Barcelona 12 9 1 2 32 15 17 28
3 Villarreal 12 8 2 2 24 10 14 26
4 Ath Madrid 12 7 4 1 24 11 13 25
5 Betis 12 5 5 2 19 13 6 20
6 Espanol 12 5 3 4 15 15 0 18
7 Betis 12 5 2 5 12 13 -1 17
8 Getafe 12 5 2 5 12 14 -2 17
9 Sevilla 12 5 1 6 18 19 -1 16
10 Alaves 12 4 3 5 11 11 0 15
11 Elche 12 3 6 3 13 14 -1 15
12 Vallecano 12 4 3 5 12 14 -2 15
13 Celta 12 2 7 3 15 18 -3 13
14 Sociedad 12 3 4 5 14 17 -3 13
15 Mallorca 12 3 3 6 12 18 -6 12
16 Osasuna 12 3 2 7 9 13 -4 11
17 Valencia 12 2 4 6 11 21 -10 10
18 Girona 12 2 4 6 11 24 -13 10
19 Levante 12 2 3 7 16 23 -7 9
20 Oviedo 12 2 2 8 7 20 -13 8

Recent Trends

Elche D L L D L

  • Last Match: D vs Sociedad (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: L vs Barcelona (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 3rd Last Match: L vs Espanol (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: D vs Ath Bilbao (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: L vs Alaves (Goals: 1 - 3)

Real Madrid D W W W W

  • Last Match: D vs Vallecano (Goals: 0 - 0)
  • 2nd Last Match: W vs Valencia (Goals: 4 - 0)
  • 3rd Last Match: W vs Barcelona (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: W vs Getafe (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: W vs Villarreal (Goals: 3 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Elche

xG (avg) 1.74
xGA (avg) 0.92
Clean Sheets 1

Real Madrid

xG (avg) 2.12
xGA (avg) 1.96
Clean Sheets 3

Key Prediction Insights

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Real Madrid is heavily favored with a 94.0% probability of securing a victory over Elche, who have a meager 2.0% chance of winning. The prediction suggests a match featuring more than 2.5 goals, with a 51.0% probability for this outcome. Real Madrid currently sits at the top of the league, while Elche is positioned 11th, aiming to improve their mid-table standing.

Match Analysis

Elche's recent form has been inconsistent, with a draw and two losses in their last three fixtures. They managed a home draw against Sociedad, but fell short in matches against Barcelona and Espanol, conceding a total of four goals and scoring just once. Despite this, their advanced metrics indicate a potential they have yet to fully capitalize on, with an average of 1.736 expected goals over the last five matches, although actual goals scored averaged at 1.2. Conversely, Real Madrid has exhibited strong performances, particularly in their recent home victories against Valencia and Barcelona, where they scored a combined six goals. They have kept three clean sheets in their last five matches, showing defensive solidity. Their advanced metrics reveal an impressive average of 2.124 expected goals, highlighting their attacking prowess. Despite conceding an average of 1.4 goals, their ability to control games with a high goal-scoring potential could be decisive against Elche.

Final Prediction

Real Madrid's position at the top of the league, coupled with their superior recent performances and advanced metrics, gives them a clear edge over Elche. Their robust attack and ability to maintain clean sheets will be critical factors. A key aspect to watch will be how effectively Real Madrid can convert their high expected goals into actual scoring opportunities against Elche's defense.

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